分类: environment

  • The Dominican Republic will face a moderate but persistent risk from El Niño

    The Dominican Republic will face a moderate but persistent risk from El Niño

    As forecasts point to one of the most intense El Niño events since 1950 set to peak in 2026, the Dominican Republic faces layered economic risks driven by extreme weather, even as the climate phenomenon delivers one unexpected upside for its key tourism industry, a new Deloitte analysis finds.

    International meteorological bodies warn there is a 90% probability that the 2026 El Niño event will strengthen into a “very strong” category, with lingering impacts stretching into 2027. While the Dominican Republic holds a more advantageous position compared to neighboring nations across Central America and Panama, the primary threat does not stem from excess rainfall. Instead, the biggest danger comes from the combined stress of prolonged drought, systemic water scarcity, and record-high heat that threatens to disrupt the country’s most economically critical sectors.

    Unlike Central America’s Dry Corridor, which faces catastrophic risks of widespread crop failure and deepening food insecurity, the Dominican Republic faces a moderate medium-term drought risk that will ripple through global and domestic supply chains to stoke inflation. Reduced rainfall across the region will cut into access to key production inputs including fertilizers and diesel, while low water levels on major global shipping routes have forced draft restrictions that push up global freight costs by as much as 15%. These higher costs are passed along step-by-step from logistics providers to retail outlets, ending with higher price tags for consumers at supermarkets and grocery stores.

    Deloitte’s report notes that fertilizers and diesel make up between 50% and 70% of total agricultural production costs for the country. Though global urea prices saw a partial correction after nearly doubling in the first half of the year, the earlier price surge has already been locked in for the 2026 planting season, putting consistent downward pressure on corporate profit margins across the agricultural sector.

    The country’s energy sector will also feel significant strain from reduced water availability. Lower reservoir levels at local hydropower dams will force grid operators to shift generation to more expensive fossil fuel-powered thermal plants, driving up overall electricity production costs thanks to the lagged economic impact of the weather event.

    Despite these broad risks, El Niño brings one clear benefit to the Dominican Republic’s economy: the climate phenomenon’s warm Atlantic phase is historically tied to reduced cyclonic activity, cutting the risk of destructive hurricanes and tropical storms hitting the island. This lower storm risk guarantees greater operational stability for the tourism sector, the single largest source of foreign exchange for the national economy.

  • Be aware this afternoon: a trough will bring downpours to several provinces

    Be aware this afternoon: a trough will bring downpours to several provinces

    The Dominican Institute of Meteorology (Indomet) has released a detailed weather forecast for this Sunday, outlining a mix of atmospheric conditions, persistent heat, and updates on two Atlantic tropical systems that currently pose no danger to the nation.

    According to Indomet’s projections, most of the Dominican Republic will wake up to a blend of partial sunshine and hazy overcast skies on Sunday. This initial sky condition is driven by two key atmospheric factors: a dominant anticyclonic system that stabilizes conditions near the surface, and light concentrations of fine dust particles carried across the Atlantic from the Sahara Desert.

    While the morning and early afternoon will remain largely calm, meteorologists warn that conditions will shift by the later afternoon. An upper-atmosphere trough linked to a distant frontal system, when combined with intense daytime solar heating and local topographical effects, will create enough atmospheric instability to trigger sudden downpours, rumbling thunderstorms, and gusty wind bursts across inland regions of the country.

    Indomet has identified 10 northern and central provinces that are most likely to see these stormy conditions: La Vega, Santiago, Santiago Rodríguez, San Juan, Dajabón, Monte Cristi, Valverde, Puerto Plata, Espaillat, as well as adjacent areas surrounding these localities. Forecasters added that the rain activity could linger into the early overnight hours, bringing moderate wet accumulation to some communities.

    Beyond the chance of afternoon storms, the agency emphasized that the ongoing stretch of hot weather will continue through Sunday, with elevated heat index values recorded across most of the national territory. To help residents avoid heat-related illnesses such as heat exhaustion or stroke, Indomet has issued a series of public health advisories. The guidance urges people to stay consistently hydrated by drinking plenty of water throughout the day, opt for light, loose-fitting, pale-colored clothing that reflects sunlight, avoid prolonged unprotected exposure to direct sun between 11 a.m. and 4 p.m. when UV and heat levels peak, and prioritize staying in cool, well-ventilated spaces during the warmest parts of the day.

    In its weekly tropical cyclone outlook, Indomet also provided updates on two active weather systems in the Atlantic Ocean. The first, Tropical Depression Fay, is currently churning over open Atlantic waters more than 1,840 kilometers west of the Azores archipelago. The system carries maximum sustained winds of 55 kilometers per hour and is tracking slowly southward at a speed of 6 kilometers per hour. Based on its current position and projected trajectory, Fay does not pose any threat to the Dominican Republic’s land or coastal areas.

    The second system under monitoring is a broad area of low pressure located southeast of Bermuda. Meteorologists give this disturbance a 10% probability of strengthening into a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, and a 20% chance of development over the coming seven days. Like Tropical Depression Fay, this low-pressure system’s location and forecast path mean it also carries no threat to Dominican territory at this time.

  • Rivers of the Dominican Republic: what are the main ones and what threats do they face?

    Rivers of the Dominican Republic: what are the main ones and what threats do they face?

    The Dominican Republic’s geographic landscape is woven together by an extensive, interconnected network of rivers and watersheds, all fed by mountain springs from the nation’s central mountain range. These water systems underpin every critical sector of Dominican life: they supply drinking water to millions of residents, support large-scale agricultural production, and fuel the country’s energy generation infrastructure. Among the nation’s most significant waterways are four that stand out for their economic, cultural, and ecological importance: Yaque del Norte, the longest river in the country, which acts as a lifeline for agricultural development across the northwest region; Yaque del Sur, a core source of irrigation for the highly productive southern agricultural zone; the Yuna River, which drains the fertile Cibao Valley before emptying into Samaná Bay; and the Ozama River, which flows along the capital city and holds deep historical and commercial importance for the nation.

  • AnuBlue Marks Record Year for Coral Restoration in Antigua & Barbuda

    AnuBlue Marks Record Year for Coral Restoration in Antigua & Barbuda

    In a landmark achievement for marine conservation in the Caribbean, non-profit marine conservation organization AnuBlue has delivered its most successful year of coral restoration since launching operations in 2021, outpacing all previous annual work to restore degraded reef ecosystems around the islands of Antigua & Barbuda. Over the past year, the team planted more than 5,800 corals grown in the organization’s onshore and offshore nurseries across restored reef sites, covering roughly 2.3 acres of degraded marine habitat — an area roughly equal in size to two full-size American football fields. Even more notable than the scale of the work is its success: post-planting monitoring has recorded an 84% survival rate for transplanted corals, a figure that confirms both the expanding reach of AnuBlue’s work and the long-term effectiveness of its science-backed restoration approach. As climate change, ocean acidification, and disease have driven sharp declines in wild coral populations across the globe, active, science-driven coral restoration has emerged as a critical strategy to protect remaining healthy reefs and reverse damage in areas that have already degraded. For small island nations like Antigua & Barbuda, healthy reefs are far more than just a natural attraction: they act as natural sea barriers that protect coastal communities from storm surge and erosion, support critical commercial and artisanal fishing industries, and underpin the billion-dollar tourism economy that drives the nation’s livelihoods. By scaling up its restoration work, AnuBlue is laying the groundwork for a more resilient future for Antigua and Barbuda’s coastal and marine ecosystems. Today, AnuBlue runs the largest active coral restoration program in Antigua & Barbuda, with four dedicated coral nurseries and five established restoration sites distributed across two of the nation’s most ecologically important marine areas: Cades Reef and the North East Marine Management Area (NEMMA). Both regions are critical habitats for a wide range of Caribbean marine species and support the livelihoods of local coastal communities, making them high-priority targets for restoration work. From these core hubs, AnuBlue expands restoration efforts to multiple reef systems across Antigua, allowing the organization to work at a meaningful scale that delivers real ecological impact, rather than limited, small-scale projects. What makes this scale of work possible is a cross-sector team of diverse stakeholders united by a shared commitment to restoring Antigua’s coastal ecosystems. The program brings together professional marine scientists, local artisanal fishermen, experienced commercial and recreational divers, and community volunteers, combining local ecological knowledge with cutting-edge scientific practice to drive successful restoration. Unlike many restoration projects that focus solely on the number of corals planted, AnuBlue’s approach prioritizes long-term reef resilience and biodiversity from the very beginning of the process. The organization’s selection strategy focuses on collecting coral fragments from parent colonies that have already demonstrated natural tolerance to the key stressors facing modern reefs: rising ocean temperatures and widespread coral disease. To boost genetic diversity and overall population resilience, the team plants genetically distinct individual corals from the same species in close proximity, creating more robust populations that are better able to adapt to future change. The program also cultivates and transplants 15 different reef-building coral species, five of which are classified as critically endangered by global conservation authorities. Each of these species plays a unique, irreplaceable role in supporting healthy reef structure and function, from providing habitat for small fish to building the reef’s foundational structure. By combining selective breeding for climate resilience with a deliberate focus on boosting species diversity, AnuBlue is working to build reef ecosystems that are healthier, more resilient, and better able to survive the challenges of a changing climate. Looking ahead, the organization plans to continue expanding its restoration work, paired with long-term monitoring and ongoing research to refine its approach and share lessons learned with other restoration programs across the Caribbean and beyond. The ultimate goal is to rebuild robust reef ecosystems that can continue to support marine biodiversity, protect coastal communities, and remain a core part of Antigua and Barbuda’s natural heritage for future generations. Founded as the Elkhorn Marine Conservancy and rebranded as AnuBlue, the organization is an innovative non-profit focused on boosting the resilience of Antigua and Barbuda’s marine ecosystems through targeted restoration, cutting-edge research, and community-led stewardship.

  • Solid Waste Authority Launches Green School Program to Tackle Plastic Waste

    Solid Waste Authority Launches Green School Program to Tackle Plastic Waste

    Antigua and Barbuda’s National Solid Waste Management Authority (NSWMA) has rolled out a new environmental outreach initiative, the Green School Program, that brings hands-on environmental education directly to secondary school campuses across the twin-island nation.

    The program kicked off officially on September 22, with a specific focus on Fourth Form students. NSWMA teams are traveling to participating schools to lead structured discussions centered on plastic waste — one of the most pressing solid waste challenges facing small island developing states — and share practical, youth-focused strategies for cutting the volume of plastic that enters regional waste streams.

    Unlike traditional lecture-style education campaigns, the Green School Program is built around interactivity. It invites students to contribute their own ideas and experiences while educating them on the core principles of waste reduction, reuse, and recycling. A key priority of the sessions is highlighting how minor, consistent adjustments to daily habits can add up to measurable improvements for local ecosystems and public spaces.

    To date, teams have already completed visits to multiple secondary schools across Antigua and Barbuda, with plans in motion to expand the initiative to more campuses and reach a growing number of young learners in the coming months.

    This targeted school program is not an isolated effort: it forms a core component of the NSWMA’s statutory mandate for public education. Under Antigua and Barbuda’s existing solid waste legislation, the authority is legally required to develop and sustain public outreach programs that build public awareness of responsible waste management practices.

    In its official announcement of the program launch, the NSWMA issued a collective call to action, stating: “Together, let’s work toward a cleaner Antigua & Barbuda.” The initiative reflects a growing global trend of engaging young people as frontline stakeholders in local environmental action, tapping into youth enthusiasm to drive long-term cultural change around waste reduction.

  • New Rescue Center Advances Belize’s Manatee Conservation Mission

    New Rescue Center Advances Belize’s Manatee Conservation Mission

    Belize’s population of endangered West Indian manatees, often referred to as the country’s gentle marine giants, is poised to receive critical new support from a purpose-built rescue and rehabilitation facility that is approaching the finish line of construction.

    The project, led by the Clearwater Marine Aquarium Research Institute, broke ground nearly two years ago, and after months of planning and construction, the new marine rescue and education center is finally nearing completion. In an interview with local outlet News Five, Jamal Galvez, director of the institute, shared detailed updates on the facility’s progress and outlined its far-reaching mission to protect Belize’s vulnerable marine wildlife.

    Unlike previous limited care options in the region, this new center will have the capacity to treat a wide range of distressed marine animals, including injured or orphaned manatees of all ages—from vulnerable small calves to full-grown adults—as well as sick or injured sea turtles. Built to meet the strict animal care standards set by the United States Department of Agriculture, the state-of-the-art facility can house up to 12 manatees at any given time, a massive expansion of local care capacity. Galvez emphasized that the project was designed from the start to deliver high-quality, accessible care, filling a critical gap in Belize’s marine conservation infrastructure.

    A key advantage of the center’s strategic location is its proximity to the regions where most human-related manatee incidents occur. The majority of manatee strandings, injuries, and emergencies are concentrated around Belize City and the Placencia peninsula. Following the recent paving of Belize’s Coastal Road, the new facility is reachable within an hour from these high-incident zones, drastically cutting down response time and improving the odds of survival for injured animals that require urgent care.

    Beyond its core rescue, rehabilitation and release mission, the center is also designed to serve as a public education hub. The facility is fully open to local communities and visitors alike, inviting Belizeans of all ages to engage with marine conservation efforts. Just as the popular Belize Zoo has inspired generations of local children to learn about native wildlife, the new center aims to foster public awareness of manatees and the threats they face. For animals that cannot be released back into the wild due to permanent disabilities or health conditions that would prevent them from surviving independently, the center will also provide a permanent, lifelong care home.

    The landmark conservation project is a collaborative effort, developed in partnership with the Belize Tourism Board, and the country’s Fisheries Department will maintain close ongoing cooperation with the center to support its operations and wildlife rescue work. This transcript is adapted from an original evening television broadcast published online.

  • Galvez Warns That Clearing Riverbanks Threatens Freshwater Ecosystem

    Galvez Warns That Clearing Riverbanks Threatens Freshwater Ecosystem

    In a urgent public statement following a recent joint government inspection, prominent marine conservationist Jamal Galvez is calling for strict regulatory action after uncovering three acres of unapproved land clearing along the banks of Belize — the country’s largest and most critical source of freshwater.

    The inspection confirmed that developers cleared all vegetation right up to the water’s edge on the stretch of river, a practice that predates modern protected area conservation regulations but remains an urgent threat to regional ecological and public health, according to Galvez, who serves as director of the Clearwater Marine Aquarium.

    Galvez emphasized that the risks of this unregulated clearing extend far beyond violations of property or conservation rules. The affected cove along the Belize River has long been documented as a key habitat for a large local manatee population, a status marked by public conservation billboards placed intentionally at the site by Galvez’s team years ago. Destroying the riverbank vegetation eliminates the shelter and feeding grounds that these vulnerable marine mammals rely on for survival.

    But the crisis is not limited to protecting endangered wildlife, Galvez stressed. The Belize River supplies drinking water to communities across the entire region, and unregulated clearing right up to the waterline dramatically increases the risk of harmful sediment runoff and pollution from adjacent agricultural activities. Just over the past month, Belize has already witnessed widespread ecological damage to the Belize River from similar clearing and agricultural runoff, making this new incident all the more disappointing to conservation advocates.

    Galvez called on national and local authorities to take decisive, immediate action rather than delaying enforcement of existing environmental rules. This is no longer just a conservation issue, he argued: it is a matter of public livelihood and access to safe drinking water for ordinary Belizean residents. With no public information about what development is planned for the cleared site, Galvez warned that the risk of further damage remains high, and called on stakeholders to address the threat before irreversible harm is done to the river that forms the heart of the region’s water infrastructure.

  • Belize River Recovers After Massive Fish Kill

    Belize River Recovers After Massive Fish Kill

    It has been nearly two months since a widespread mass fish death event triggered urgent concern among local populations across the Belize River Valley, and Belize’s Department of the Environment (DOE) has now confirmed that the ecosystem is well on the road to recovery. In a public update released Thursday, the regulatory body announced that key water quality metrics have returned to pre-incident baseline levels, and no hazardous chemical contaminants have been found in tested fish tissue samples.

    Back in early August, the unexplained large-scale fish kill sent shockwaves through river-side communities, raising fears of long-term toxic contamination and irreversible damage to one of the country’s key freshwater ecosystems. In response to the public outcry, the DOE launched an extensive, continuous monitoring program to track water conditions and ecosystem health in the wake of the event.

    According to the latest monitoring data, all core water quality indicators that spiked to dangerous levels during the incident have now normalized. Testing for common pollutants including nitrates, phosphates, and sulphates, as well as measurements of chemical oxygen demand, all fall within safe, established normal ranges. Complementary laboratory analysis of fish organ tissues carried out to check for lingering harmful substances also returned clear results, with no compounds of concern identified by researchers.

    The recovery marks a positive turning point for the Belize River, which supports both local livelihoods and a diverse native aquatic ecosystem. Even so, the DOE has made clear that its oversight work will not end with this confirmation of recovery. The department plans to maintain long-term monitoring of the river and continues to supervise the implementation of targeted corrective measures across the entire Belize River watershed to reduce the risk of similar events in the future.

    To strengthen early detection capabilities, officials have already installed a state-of-the-art real-time water quality monitoring system along the Belize River. This system will provide instant alerts for any unexpected shifts in river conditions, allowing regulators to respond rapidly before a small issue escalates into another large-scale ecological event. A identical real-time monitoring system is currently scheduled for deployment on the nearby New River in the coming weeks, extending this early warning protection across more of Belize’s critical freshwater networks.

  • Delayed but Not Derailed: Electric Buses Still Coming

    Delayed but Not Derailed: Electric Buses Still Coming

    Belize’s ambitious plan to transition its entire public national bus fleet to zero-emission electric vehicles has encountered an unanticipated scheduling setback, though government officials confirm the initiative is far from derailed and remains firmly aligned with long-term decarbonization goals. The first batch of electric buses was originally scheduled to enter service in September 2026, but adjustments to grant funding allocation for the project pushed back the timeline, according to Belize’s Minister of Transport Dr. Louis Zabaneh.

    In a recent phone interview, Dr. Zabaneh outlined that the project has resumed progress following the funding restructuring, with a competitive tender for the first 10 electric buses set to launch imminently. The delay stemmed from a government decision to reallocate grant resources between bus terminal upgrades and electric bus procurement for the National Bus Company (NBC), the state-owned public transit operator. Despite the hold-up, the minister reaffirmed the government’s core target: replacing NBC’s entire inherited fleet of 75 aging diesel buses with fully electric units by the end of 2027.

    To add transparency to the modernization process, the government has scheduled a full public press conference for October 5, 2026. At that event, officials will release granular details on the project’s progress, alongside broader plans to overhaul the entire public transportation sector. The updates will cover planned legislative reforms, adjustments to regulatory frameworks, and revised financial arrangements to support the transition to electric transit.

    Notably, the electric bus initiative aligns with Belize’s broader energy and climate objectives, at a time when the small Central American nation already faces ongoing challenges meeting domestic energy demand. To minimize strain on the national power grid and maximize the climate benefits of the transition, NBC confirmed its new electric fleet will primarily run on energy generated from on-site solar panels, with the national Belize Electricity Limited (BEL) grid only acting as a backup power source for periods of low solar generation.

    This report is a transcribed excerpt from a televised evening news broadcast, with all non-English speech translated and formatted per standard spelling conventions.

  • Mottley: Climate finance ‘math simply ain’t mathing’

    Mottley: Climate finance ‘math simply ain’t mathing’

    Speaking from the podium of the United Nations General Assembly, Barbados Prime Minister Mia Mottley has issued a stark warning about the growing climate financing crisis facing the world’s most climate-vulnerable nations. By 2030, Mottley estimates that these countries will face an annual shortfall of nearly $400 billion in funding needed to address climate change impacts — and that gap is being widened dramatically by unfair lending practices that force vulnerable countries to pay billions in extra annual interest payments compared to richer, developed nations.

    Mottley laid out the staggering mismatch between current funding and what is actually required, noting that vulnerable countries need to mobilize approximately $490 billion every year by the end of the 2020s to build climate resilience, adapt to shifting weather patterns, and recover from increasingly frequent extreme climate events. That stands in sharp contrast to the current annual climate finance flows that reach these nations, which sit at just $9 billion. “As the young people in Barbados would say, the math simply ain’t mathing,” Mottley declared, driving home the disconnect between global climate commitments and on-the-ground financing support.

    Beyond the massive gap between what is needed and what is actually delivered, Mottley emphasized that the inequity of current lending structures is compounding the crisis. Climate-vulnerable countries currently face borrowing costs that are roughly 1.2 percentage points higher than those charged to advanced economies. While that gap may seem marginal to outside observers, Mottley calculated that it adds up to $62 billion in extra annual interest payments that vulnerable nations must pay, a burden she described as fundamentally unfair. This higher cost of borrowing acts as a persistent drag on economies already struggling to cope with the fallout of climate shocks, from sea-level rise to devastating hurricanes and droughts.

    Mottley used these concrete numbers to reinforce a long-running argument: the existing international financial system systematically disadvantages climate-vulnerable developing countries, particularly when they seek financing to strengthen resilience and advance sustainable development. As the current president of the Climate Vulnerable Forum and its V20 group of climate-vulnerable economies, Barbados has been leading targeted efforts to expand access to affordable, long-term financing for these nations.

    One key initiative highlighted by Mottley is the Vulnerability to Viability Compact, developed in partnership with the OPEC Fund for International Development, which has already gained the backing of 74 countries and 16 major development finance institutions. This initiative aims to remove barriers to low-cost, long-term capital for critical community projects spanning education infrastructure, healthcare facilities, and water access systems. Mottley also noted that the V20’s Lifeline Fund is set to become operational in the near future, designed to provide rapid liquidity support to countries facing balance of payments pressures in the immediate aftermath of climate shocks. “It seeks to provide rapid liquidity when climate shocks create balance of payments pressures for countries,” she explained. “So we are moving to help ourselves.”

    For Mottley, access to long-term financing is non-negotiable if vulnerable nations are to move beyond a constant cycle of post-disaster recovery and make the foundational investments needed to build strong, resilient economies. “You cannot build hospitals and schools and water infrastructure with 10- and 15-year money,” she argued. Short-term financing “crowds out critical investments for our people and leaves you flat-footed, and that is why this important initiative represents real progress.”

    Even as she celebrated the progress of these collaborative efforts between vulnerable nations, Mottley was careful to note that incremental changes to financing practice are not enough to fix the deeper structural inequities at play. “Mechanisms such as this one cannot on their own address the underlying flaws of the international financial architecture,” she cautioned. This warning aligns with the core mission of the Bridgetown Initiative, the proposal spearheaded by Barbados over the past five years that calls for systemic reform of the international financial system and expanded access to affordable financing for vulnerable developing countries.

    Mottley reiterated that the interconnected nature of the world’s biggest challenges demands a coordinated, holistic policy approach. For almost five years, the Bridgetown Initiative has consistently argued that climate resilience, debt sustainability, and access to affordable finance cannot be treated as separate, siloed issues. “For many vulnerable countries, the problem is not simply the availability of capital, but whether we have the fiscal space to borrow and to invest on reasonable terms,” she said.