标签： Jamaica

WASHINGTON—In a significant economic policy move, former President Donald Trump announced his intention to nominate Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve governor, as the next chairman of the U.S. central bank. The selection concludes a highly scrutinized search for leadership at the nation’s most powerful financial institution.

Warsh, who served on the Fed’s board from 2006 to 2011 as its youngest-ever governor at the time of his appointment, has emerged as Trump’s preferred candidate to replace current Chair Jerome Powell. Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for what he perceived as insufficiently aggressive interest rate reductions during his tenure.

“I have known Kevin for a long period of time, and have no doubt that he will go down as one of the GREAT Fed Chairmen, maybe the best,” Trump declared on his Truth Social platform, adding that Warsh possessed the ideal appearance and reliability for the role.

Financial markets responded positively to the announcement, with precious metals declining and the dollar strengthening—indicators that investors viewed the selection favorably. Josh Lipsky of the Atlantic Council noted that “markets are broadly happy at the moment,” characterizing Warsh as a conventional Republican choice who respects the Fed’s institutional history and independence.

However, the nomination faces substantial political hurdles. Warsh must secure confirmation from the U.S. Senate, where Banking Committee members have already expressed concerns about Trump’s apparent efforts to influence monetary policy. Republican Senator Thom Tillis has vowed to oppose all Fed nominations until an investigation into Powell is resolved, while Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren warned the selection represents “Trump’s attempt to seize control of the Fed.”

The nomination occurs amid delicate economic conditions, with policymakers balancing concerns about persistent inflation against signs of cooling employment. Warsh, historically considered an inflation “hawk,” has recently aligned more closely with the Trump administration’s calls for lower rates. His challenge will be to maintain the Fed’s independence while pursuing its dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment.

Jamaica’s fiscal stability faces mounting pressure as public sector wage demands intensify, creating significant budgetary challenges during the nation’s critical post-hurricane recovery phase. The Independent Fiscal Commission (IFC) has issued a stark warning about compensation costs that have already surpassed allocated amounts in the first half of the fiscal year, with further increases anticipated as pending wage negotiations reach conclusion.

The financial strain emerges at a particularly vulnerable moment, with the Caribbean nation grappling with the extensive aftermath of Hurricane Melissa’s devastating impact last October. The catastrophic weather event inflicted an estimated US$8.8 billion in damages, compelling the government to suspend existing fiscal regulations through disaster clauses while seeking a two-year extension for its legislated debt reduction targets.

According to the IFC’s January assessment presented to Parliament, employee compensation reached $255.1 billion between April and September, exceeding original budgetary projections by $3.2 billion. Wage and salary expenditures alone surpassed expectations by $2.3 billion, even before the resolution of ongoing negotiations. These compensation costs constituted nearly half of the central government’s recurrent expenditure during this period, highlighting their substantial role as one of the budget’s most inflexible components.

The commission emphasized that Jamaica currently operates without active fiscal rules governing wage and salary expenditures, and the government has not committed to reinstating such frameworks despite repeated recommendations. This regulatory gap has created fiscal uncertainty, as wage settlements frequently occur outside the standard budget cycle, forcing post-approval revisions to spending plans already authorized by Parliament.

While the national accounts rebasing in 2025 placed the wage bill at approximately 12.1% of GDP—lower than previous estimates but still elevated by regional standards—the absence of a structured compensation negotiation cycle continues to pose substantial fiscal risks. The IFC reiterated that implementing Section 48H of the Financial Administration and Audit Act, which provides for a formalized negotiation process aligned with budget preparation, would enhance predictability and mitigate financial vulnerabilities.

As the government prepares to outline its reconstruction financing strategy, concerns mount that increased wage costs may necessitate reductions in capital expenditure, which already experienced a $16.3 billion (46%) under-execution during the same six-month period. Public debt is projected to rise to 68.2% of GDP by year-end, up from 60.3% in September, further complicating Jamaica’s financial landscape as it enters a demanding reconstruction phase.