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Belizeans are experiencing the lowest returns on their bank deposits in over 15 years, according to recent data from the Central Bank of Belize. The weighted average deposit rate fell to 0.9 percent in September 2025, reflecting a sustained decline in what banks pay customers for savings and time-deposit accounts. This downward trend is primarily driven by savings and time deposits, which constitute the majority of customer funds. Savings accounts now yield between 2.6 and 2.7 percent, while time deposits, often used for fixed-term investments, have dropped to 1.9 to 2.0 percent. Demand and chequing accounts, which typically offer minimal or no interest, have remained stable and play a lesser role in the overall decline. The long-term trend reveals a stark reduction in deposit earnings. In early 2010, the average rate was nearly 6 percent, but by 2020, it had fallen to around 1.3 percent. The continued decrease into 2024 and 2025 indicates that low deposit returns have become a permanent feature of Belize’s banking system. For example, time deposit rates, which stood at 7.4 percent in 2010, have plummeted by 74 percent to 1.9 percent today. Several factors contribute to this shift, including banks’ ample liquidity, which reduces their need to offer high interest rates to attract deposits, and slow lending growth, which diminishes competition for customer savings. For Belizeans, these historically low rates mean that savings grow at a sluggish pace, making it increasingly difficult to keep up with rising living costs. Over the same period, headline inflation has surged by nearly 30 percent, exacerbating the financial strain on households.

The global sugar market has experienced a dramatic turnaround from the multi-year lows observed in late September and early November, with benchmark prices now surging due to production shortfalls in key exporting nations. This shift has been driven by severe drought conditions in Brazil’s Center-South region, unusually dry monsoon patterns in India, and weather-related stress in Thailand. These disruptions have collectively erased earlier expectations of abundant supply, which had previously pushed prices downward. International agencies, including the International Sugar Organization, now project a significant deficit of 5.47 million metric tons for 2024/25, marking a nine-year high. Private analysts and the USDA also anticipate a multi-million-ton shortfall and a 4.7 percent drop in global inventories by early 2025. Demand remains robust, particularly in emerging markets where consumption of processed foods and beverages is rising. Additionally, growth in ethanol demand adds complexity, as higher crude oil prices incentivize mills to divert cane to biofuel production, reducing sugar availability and amplifying price volatility. The market shift has uneven implications for industry players. While sugar and ethanol groups like Brazil’s Cosan may benefit from stronger prices, food and beverage manufacturers face higher input costs, squeezing margins. Government interventions, such as India’s export restrictions and Mexico’s recent 156 percent tariff on imports, further reshape market dynamics. For Belize, the rebound in global prices could moderate downside risks for cane farmers, though local challenges like disease pressures and potential contraband activity remain concerns. The rally also feeds into broader food inflation dynamics, with economists warning of potential upward pressure on global food prices. Analysts note that sugar markets are historically cyclical, with weather and policy decisions driving pronounced peaks and troughs. While improved rainfall or stronger harvests could soften prices, the current structural tightness suggests heightened volatility through 2026. For Belize, the situation underscores the need for agile policy responses and sustained investment in climate-resilient cane production.

In a landmark cross-border meeting held on November 12 at the Corozal Free Zone conference room, officials from Belize and Quintana Roo, Mexico, explored strategies to enhance trade, investment, and regional cooperation. The session, attended by high-level representatives from both jurisdictions, focused on leveraging Belize’s cost-effective ports as gateways for goods destined for southern Mexico and beyond. Quintana Roo’s delegation highlighted Belize’s strategic geographic location and its role in facilitating access to CARICOM and other regional markets, paving the way for targeted discussions on joint investment promotion and production initiatives. The meeting also addressed critical areas such as border management, gender-based violence interventions, and beach-erosion responses in the Chetumal Bay area. Both sides agreed to update two Memoranda of Understanding (MoUs) to modernize cooperation frameworks and bolster institutional support for cross-border commerce. The revised agreements will strengthen ties between Belize’s Ministry of Investment and Quintana Roo’s Secretaría de Desarrollo Económico, as well as between the Corozal Free Zone and the Recinto Fiscalizado Estratégico de Chetumal. The Quintana Roo delegation included senior officials from Mexico’s foreign relations, economic development, and trade agencies, while Belize’s team comprised representatives from the Office of the Prime Minister, the Ministry of Human Development, the Ministry of Immigration, the Corozal Free Zone, BELTRAIDE, and key investment and border-management units. The meeting concluded with a shared commitment to advance joint efforts in investment promotion, trade facilitation, and coordinated development initiatives, reinforcing the enduring partnership between Belize and southern Mexico.