分类: business

  • Breaking: Caribbean Airlines to withdraw service to St Kitts and Dominica

    Breaking: Caribbean Airlines to withdraw service to St Kitts and Dominica

    In a major restructuring move to stem crippling financial losses, the government of Trinidad and Tobago has confirmed that state-owned Caribbean Airlines will end all commercial air service to St Kitts and Nevis and Dominica starting June 1, 2026. The announcement, delivered Friday to Trinidad and Tobago’s National Assembly by Transport and Civil Aviation Minister Eli Zakour, comes as the carrier refocuses its network exclusively on routes that deliver consistent economic viability.

    The route cuts are the direct outcome of a formal audit carried out by the airline’s internal Route Oversight Committee, which examined the performance of all routes launched under the carrier’s ambitious 2023 network expansion push. The review concluded that many of the new routes added in that expansion were rolled out without sufficient commercial due diligence, and have posted continuous losses from their launch. “That review has confirmed that several routes launched under the 2023 expansion programme were introduced without adequate commercial justification and have generated sustained financial losses for the company since inception,” Zakour told parliament.

    The St Kitts and Nevis route, which launched alongside the 2023 expansion, had accumulated losses of more than $1.65 million U.S. dollars by the end of April 2026. Dominica’s route, launched only one year ago, recorded roughly $730,000 U.S. in losses over the same period. These are not the only underperforming routes targeted by the restructuring: the nonstop service connecting Guyana and Suriname lost $1.24 million U.S., while already discontinued routes fared far worse. The Jamaica-Fort Lauderdale route, pulled from the schedule in November 2025, amassed $7.2 million U.S. in losses before its cancellation, and the Trinidad-Puerto Rico service, ended in January 2026, lost $4.92 million U.S.

    Beyond full cancellations, Caribbean Airlines will also scale back flight frequency to the French Caribbean overseas territories of Martinique and Guadeloupe to reduce ongoing losses on those routes. Collectively, all routes impacted by the restructuring have accumulated total losses exceeding $18.84 million U.S. as of April 2026, equal to more than TT$128 million, according to Minister Zakour.

    To mitigate disruption for travelers, Zakour confirmed that all passengers holding bookings on the canceled routes will be reached out to directly by the airline. Passengers will be offered options including full refunds, travel credits for future bookings, or re-accommodation on alternative itineraries through partner carriers.

  • Agriculture’s footprint across CARICOM economies

    Agriculture’s footprint across CARICOM economies

    New data from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators, last updated in April 2026, reveals a striking divergence in the contribution of agriculture, forestry, and fishing to gross domestic product across the 15 member states of the Caribbean Community (CARICOM) in 2023. Percentages range from a mere 0.5% to more than 17% of total national output, reflecting the vastly different economic development trajectories and core productive foundations that define each regional economy.

    At the upper end of the spectrum, Haiti retains the highest share of any CARICOM member, with the primary sector accounting for 17.5% of its total GDP. It is followed closely by Dominica at 12.1%, Belize at 8.1%, Jamaica at 7.8%, and Suriname at 7.2%. For these nations, agriculture remains a core pillar of economic activity, supporting widespread livelihoods and contributing meaningfully to overall national output.

    Guyana offers a particularly illustrative example of economic transformation reshaping the agricultural sector’s share. In 2019, agriculture, forestry, and fishing made up 17.6% of the country’s GDP, but that figure fell to 9.7% by 2023. Crucially, this shift does not stem from a contraction in agricultural output: the sector has recorded consistent expansion in most years over the four-year period. Instead, the drop reflects an unprecedented boom in Guyana’s emerging oil and gas sector, which has driven exponential overall GDP growth and reduced agriculture’s proportional contribution to the national economy.

    On the opposite end of the spectrum, a group of CARICOM economies built around service or extractive industries see agriculture contributing less than 2% of total GDP. The Bahamas tops this list at just 0.5%, followed by Trinidad and Tobago at 0.8%, Saint Lucia at 1.1%, Saint Kitts and Nevis at 1.4%, Barbados at 1.7%, and Antigua and Barbuda at 1.9%. These nations’ economic architectures are anchored by other high-value sectors, with tourism, hydrocarbon production, and international financial services driving the bulk of national output instead.

    Overall, the data underscores CARICOM’s status as a region of highly diversified economic profiles. The relative weight of agriculture in each member state’s GDP is directly shaped by the scope and composition of their broader productive bases, from resource extraction to tourism and finance.

  • Detailed conditions for micro-loans from development bank

    Detailed conditions for micro-loans from development bank

    On Thursday, May 21, 2026, Guyana’s Minister of Government Efficiency Zulfikar Ally publicly laid out eligibility and procedural requirements for small and medium-sized businesses seeking interest-free, collateral-free loans of up to 3 million Guyanese dollars from the soon-to-launch Guyana Development Bank, during a business luncheon hosted by the Guyana Manufacturing and Services Association (GMSA).

    Ally confirmed that the state-backed bank is on track to open its doors to borrowers before the end of 2026, and detailed the core documentation and checks applicants will need to complete. To qualify for financing, business owners must provide a verifiable credit score, proof of compliance with both the National Insurance Scheme and Guyana Revenue Authority regulations, official proof of address, a comprehensive business plan, updated financial statements where applicable, and official government identification — a digital ID is preferred, but traditional physical identification cards will still be accepted. All applications will also undergo a rigorous background check focused on the applicant’s history of debt repayment, Ally added.

    To ensure full public accountability, the minister announced that all of the development bank’s financial activities will be audited annually by the Office of the Auditor General, and all government capital injections into the institution will be formally presented to and reviewed by Guyana’s Parliament. Currently, the government has not implemented any upper cap on total annual loan disbursements, Ally confirmed.

    Financing from the new bank will prioritize four key high-growth sectors: agriculture and agro-processing, tourism and hospitality, trade, and the emerging creative and digital industries. When pressed for details on intellectual property protections for digital and creative sector borrowers, Ally noted that the government is still developing policy frameworks for this fast-growing new segment, with more details to come at a later date. The bank’s long-term structure is designed to support growing businesses as their capital needs expand, Ally explained: for businesses that successfully grow past the 3 million GYD loan cap and need additional financing, the development bank will partner with local commercial banks to facilitate larger lending, while also providing pre-screening, business training, and referral support to connect qualified borrowers with additional capital.

    Beyond lending, the institution will offer non-financial support to borrowers, including mandatory financial literacy training, one-on-one mentorship from experienced industry professionals, targeted business development guidance, and technical assistance to help small business owners strengthen their management capabilities, improve long-term operational sustainability, and scale their operations.

    Repeated questions were raised at the event about the long-term fiscal sustainability of the bank’s model of zero-interest, no-collateral lending, with attendees asking whether the government would cap lending after disbursing several billion Guyanese dollars. Ally rejected the prospect of an early cap, confirming that the government will commit sustained capital to the initiative, which is designed to unlock economic potential for under-served entrepreneurs across the country who have strong business ideas but lack access to traditional financing.

    Ally added that Guyana’s policy team has drawn lessons from decades of successful experience with similar microcredit and development bank models in South Asia, specifically studying the Grameen Bank of Bangladesh, the pioneering microfinance institution that built its model on no-collateral lending to reduce poverty and empower low-income entrepreneurs, as well as established development bank models in India.

  • Fuel Prices Creep Up; Drivers Feel the Weekly Squeeze

    Fuel Prices Creep Up; Drivers Feel the Weekly Squeeze

    As of May 21, 2026, Belize is grappling with two interconnected crises shaking its fuel sector: consecutive weekly price hikes have placed unprecedented financial pressure on ordinary motorists across the country, while fuel dealers are locked in a high-stakes dispute with the national government over a sudden rollback of a decades-old pricing framework.

    Across Belize’s largest urban center, Belize City, the strain of rising fuel costs is visible at every gas pump. What was once a routine, predictable expense to keep vehicles on the road has ballooned into a major monthly budget burden, forcing thousands of drivers to rearrange their daily routines, cut back on non-essential travel, and rethink personal finances. In an on-the-ground, non-scientific survey of local motorists, reporter Paul Lopez from News Five documents how the steady climb in prices has upended household budgeting for commuters that rely on their vehicles for work and daily life.

    Interviews with more than a dozen local residents reveal consistent stories of growing financial strain. One long-time commuter who travels daily from Orange Walk to Belize City for work explained that a $50 weekly fuel budget that once covered all his trips now only lasts 48 hours. “It really hurts me,” he shared, calling on national leaders to cut fuel taxes to ease the burden. Another mobile worker, who operates as a locksmith and must respond to emergency calls across the city, noted that what once cost $50 every two to three days now must be purchased every 36 hours on average. Even motorcyclists, who typically enjoy lower fuel costs, have seen their weekly expenses jump by $10 on average.

    The scale of the increases varies by usage, but all drivers report double-digit weekly jumps in fuel spending. One vehicle owner who previously spent $80 per week on fuel for his car and $20 for his motorcycle now pays $110 for the car and $30 for the motorcycle, a 25% total increase. For a mother who makes daily trips to transport her children from the Belama neighborhood to schools across Belize City, weekly fuel costs have surged from $80 to $150 – a $70 jump that puts massive strain on her household budget. A commercial pickup driver who travels for work reports even starker growth, with his weekly bill climbing from $300 to more than $400. Across the board, drivers are frustrated: many note that even a $10 fill-up now barely moves the needle on their gas tank, leaving them constantly budgeting for refuels.

    A quirk of the current pricing landscape has seen a surprising shift in consumer behavior: for the first time in many years, premium fuel now costs less than regular fuel at Belize’s pumps, leading most motorists to opt for the higher-grade option even as overall costs rise. Regardless of the grade they choose, the end result is the same: eroded purchasing power that leaves less money for other essential household expenses.

    Beyond the strain on drivers, a separate conflict is brewing between fuel retailers and the Briceño administration. The Belize Service Dealers Association is demanding that the government address its concerns within seven days, after policymakers unilaterally scrapped a pricing formula that had governed dealer margins for more than 20 years.

    Under the 2004 pricing agreement, service stations were guaranteed a 10% margin on fuel based on its landed import cost. This framework was replaced abruptly by a flat-rate margin system, a change that dealers argue threatens the financial viability of their businesses. Dealers note that they raised formal objections to the proposed change during initial public consultations, but claim the government moved forward with the new system anyway, ignoring their input.

    Dealers warn that the new flat-rate structure will squeeze their already thin profits, making it far harder to cover fixed operating costs including commercial rent for station properties and employee wages. They also emphasize that the original 2004 agreement requires mutual consent from both the government and dealer association to make changes to the pricing framework, a requirement they say the government has violated. As tensions escalate, the association has confirmed it has already retained legal counsel and is weighing formal legal action to reverse the policy change.

  • Petition Drive Targets Mining Threat in Belize’s Prime Coastal Zones

    Petition Drive Targets Mining Threat in Belize’s Prime Coastal Zones

    In a urgent push to protect two of Belize’s most valuable coastal regions, the Belize Tourism Industry Association (BTIA) has launched a public petition calling for an immediate suspension of mining and dredging operations in Placencia Lagoon and Ambergris Caye. The action comes as public backlash against the controversial development projects grows, with leaders warning that the activity is inflicting irreversible harm on the coastal environment that underpins Belize’s most critical economic sector.

    Speaking on behalf of the association, BTIA President Efren Perez emphasized that the industry group is not opposed to all development, but demands that any progress in the coastal zones be rooted in scientific evidence, full public transparency, and rigorous regulatory oversight. This approach, he argues, is the only way to safeguard both the fragile coastal ecosystems and the hundreds of thousands of livelihoods that depend on them.

    Perez noted that concerns over the ongoing mining, dredging, and large-scale coastal alterations in both Placencia and the San Pedro area on Ambergris Caye have already been raised by a broad coalition of local communities and environmental advocacy groups. For the tourism sector, which forms the backbone of Belize’s national economy, these activities pose an existential threat.

    Tourism’s long-term viability in the region is entirely dependent on the health of Belize’s irreplaceable natural assets: the biologically diverse lagoons, the extensive mangrove forests that buffer coastlines and support marine life, and the interconnected ecosystems that draw millions of visitors to the country each year. To protect this foundation, Perez says existing policies governing coastal development must be clarified, updated, and enforced with strict penalties for violations. Without meaningful accountability, he warns, unsustainable harmful practices will continue to be repeated, putting the entire sector at risk.

    BTIA is also calling for a full formal review of the existing permitting processes for coastal development projects, to ensure all activities align fully with national environmental and conservation laws. Perez reaffirmed the association’s commitment to collaborative work with all government, industry, and community stakeholders to strike a fair, sustainable balance between economic growth and environmental protection. The core priority, he says, is to lock in effective enforcement of existing rules to guarantee that future development supports, rather than destroys, the natural resources that make Belize a world-class tourism destination.

  • Cane Farmers Urged to Rethink Sweet Reliance

    Cane Farmers Urged to Rethink Sweet Reliance

    Against a backdrop of intensifying climate volatility and unpredictable global sugar pricing, Belize’s iconic sugarcane industry faces an existential crossroads, prompting top government leaders to push for urgent economic diversification among the nation’s cane growers. Prime Minister John Briceño and former Agriculture Minister Jose Mai have launched direct outreach to farming communities, framing a shift toward cattle ranching as a viable, high-demand path to build long-term agricultural resilience.

    For decades, Briceño noted, policymakers have warned cane farmers against overreliance on a single commodity, stressing the age-old wisdom of not placing all eggs in one basket. Today, that warning has become more urgent as climate change brings growing pressure to sugar cultivation, from erratic rainfall patterns to shifting growing conditions, while global sugar markets continue to swing between unpredictable price peaks and slumps. Now, leaders say, a tangible, high-demand opportunity exists in the livestock sector:
    cattle production for export to neighboring Mexico and Guatemala, where current domestic supply cannot keep up with existing consumer demand.

    Under the government’s proposal, cane farmers who hold underutilized or non-marginal cane acreage can convert unused portions of their land into pasture for small-scale cattle herds, generating an additional, steady stream of revenue beyond sugar sales. “If you have some cane fields that are not marginal or not using, then you can convert it into pasture land and have a few heads of cattle to sell. So, it goes in line with what we are talking as government,” Briceño explained in public remarks.

    Data from the Statistical Institute of Belize underscores the economic potential of this shift: the nation’s cattle export sector generated more than $16 million in revenue for producers in 2025, even as the industry has recorded modest export declines in recent months. For a country where sugar production has long been a cornerstone of the agricultural economy, the proposed diversification represents a fundamental strategic shift designed to shield farming livelihoods from the overlapping threats of climate change and global market volatility.

  • JetBlue Exits Belize Skies, Budget Travel Takes Another Hit

    JetBlue Exits Belize Skies, Budget Travel Takes Another Hit

    In a development that deals another significant blow to affordable air access to Belize, U.S.-based carrier JetBlue has formally ended its direct route connecting New York’s JFK International Airport to Belize’s Philip Goldson International Airport, with its final commercial flight on the route completing operations in mid-May 2026. The route suspension is part of JetBlue’s wider “JetForward” corporate restructuring strategy, a plan that sees the airline reallocating its aircraft fleet to higher-margin routes that deliver stronger financial returns, after passenger volumes and profitability on the Belize route failed to meet the carrier’s internal projections.

    JetBlue’s departure from Belize’s air market comes only a few weeks after another major low-cost carrier, Spirit Airlines, exited the same destination, leaving the Central American nation with a gaping hole in its low-cost air connectivity. For Belize’s tourism-driven economy, which relies heavily on a steady flow of affordable air travel to attract international leisure travelers, the back-to-back exits of two leading budget airlines have triggered widespread concern across the country’s tourism sector.

    Efren Perez, president of the Belize Tourism Industry Association (BTIA), explained in an interview that the loss of any air carrier carries significant consequences for the country’s entire tourism ecosystem. “We depend on expanding airlift to boost overnight stays, and the benefits of that growth trickle down to every corner of the tourism industry—from hoteliers and tour operators to taxi drivers, restaurant workers and local artisans,” Perez noted. “So any airline exit is absolutely a cause for concern.”

    Even amid that uncertainty, however, Perez and other industry leaders point out that existing legacy carriers continue to maintain service to Belize, creating a foundation for recovery while tourism officials work to attract new carriers. Major U.S. and regional airlines including American Airlines, Delta, and Copa Airlines still operate regular routes to the country, and Air Canada recently launched a new direct service from Montreal to Belize that opens up faster same-day connecting travel for passengers coming from European destinations.

    Perez added that Belize’s Tourism Board (BTB) and the Ministry of Tourism are already working around the clock to court new airlines to fill the gap left by JetBlue and Spirit, and are rolling out targeted marketing initiatives to boost visitor numbers during the upcoming low travel season. Dubbed the “green season” campaign, the initiative calls on local hoteliers to offer discounted room rates to attract budget-conscious travelers, with the goal of filling existing capacity on the routes that remain in operation.

    Perez acknowledged that the industry is already facing headwinds, with rising global fuel costs pushing up airfares and leading to a measurable drop in overnight hotel bookings. He urged all local hospitality stakeholders to participate in the off-peak discount campaign, framing it as a critical tool to drive visitor volumes while longer-term airlift expansion efforts move forward. “Right now, we have to work with what we have, and double down on smarter marketing and collaborative action across the private sector to keep visitor numbers steady through the slow season,” Perez said.

  • Employers, Workers Pressured to Find Common Ground in Labor Talks

    Employers, Workers Pressured to Find Common Ground in Labor Talks

    On May 21, 2026, a pivotal national labor education convening brought government representatives, business leaders, and worker advocates together at ITVET in Belize, launching a targeted push to bridge divides and build shared understanding between employers and employees amid evolving workplace pressures.

    Organized by Belize’s Labor Department, the forum was far from a passive policy lecture: it centered open, solution-focused dialogue centered on clarifying core labor rights, outlining clear responsibilities for both sides of the employment relationship, and addressing the most pressing, on-the-ground concerns facing Belize’s modern workforce. The Belize Chamber of Commerce and Industry (BCCI), which represents more than 6,000 business members across the country, participated as the official employer constituency partner to the International Labour Organization (ILO), bringing a business perspective to the collaborative conversation.

    BCCI CEO Kim Aikman opened the session by emphasizing that long-term labor stability and economic competitiveness can only be achieved through intentional, ongoing collaboration between all three key stakeholders: government, the private sector, and organized labor. Domingo Pau, a senior Labor Officer with the Belizean government, echoed this call, noting that co-operation across groups is non-negotiable to building a balanced, sustainable labor landscape that works for all Belizeans.

    The interactive educational session was part of a series of similar events rolled out across every region of Belize, designed to demystify the country’s Labor Act for both employers and workers who may lack clear guidance on regulatory requirements. Over the course of the morning, facilitators walked attendees through a range of high-priority topics: from core employment benefits including severance pay, annual vacation leave, public and bank holiday pay, sickness allowance, and maternity benefits, to formal protocols for disciplinary action and different types of job termination, including summary dismissal.

    One of the most prominent topics of discussion was the intersection of severance pay and pension benefits, a question that has gained public attention following a high-profile court ruling involving telecommunications firm BTL. Pau noted that the ruling has set a clear legal precedent for future cases, and the session prioritized making this public information accessible to both employers and workers to reduce uncertainty around this critical end-of-employment benefit. “Severance is one of the most important benefits workers rely on when their employment relationship ends, whether through retirement or involuntary termination,” Pau explained, adding that it recognizes the years of service workers have contributed to their employers.

    Following the convening, BCCI reaffirmed its commitment to continuing these collaborative dialogues, noting that tangible, sustained progress in Belize’s labor market requires all stakeholders to align on shared goals of fairness and growth. The chamber says it will continue to support and host similar sessions across the country, with the ultimate aim of fostering more equitable workplaces that drive inclusive economic growth across Belize.

    This report is adapted from a transcript of an evening television newscast originally published online.

  • New onion farmer scores big with first crop

    New onion farmer scores big with first crop

    Against a backdrop of persistent food security challenges and heavy reliance on imported produce across the Caribbean, a first-time onion cultivator in Barbados has delivered an encouraging early win, demonstrating how targeted public agricultural investment can unlock local production potential.

    Shamon O’Garro, founder of Greenhill Family Farms based in St. Lucy, has harvested a remarkably successful maiden crop from just under one acre of farmland, overcoming multiple rookie obstacles and erratic weather conditions that many new growers would struggle to navigate. His success comes directly on the back of a new state-backed post-harvest handling facility launched by the Barbados Agricultural Development and Marketing Corporation (BADMC) in Christ Church, a development built to address long-standing systemic barriers that have crippled local onion production for decades.

    Reflecting on his first four-month growing cycle in an interview with Barbados TODAY, O’Garro expressed surprise at how well his venture turned out, even when factoring in self-inflicted planting errors and industry-wide supply chain disruptions. “My introduction to onion farming has been nothing short of excellence,” he shared. “It came out pretty well, to be honest, especially given all the challenges I faced along the way — I planted the seeds a little too close together, and we dealt with widespread fertilizer shortages. But for a first attempt this year, we did really well.”

    O’Garro’s entry into commercial agriculture was not a random choice: he was driven by a desire to strengthen Barbados’ domestic food economy, inspired by a long-time veteran onion grower who lives next door. “My neighbour, who I really look up to, has grown onions for many years,” he explained. “Seeing the success he’s built, and the respect he’s earned across the farming and market communities, that pushed me to want to be part of this movement, to grow onions right here for Barbados.”

    When asked what the most critical lesson he learned from his first harvest was, O’Garro highlighted the non-technical traits that make a successful smallholder farmer. “Patience. Nothing but patience, and you also have to stay committed,” he said. “So many unexpected things can pop up over the four months it takes to grow an onion crop. You just have to stay steady and patient through it all.”

    For O’Garro, the BADMC’s new facility solves two of the most pressing risks small-scale growers face: post-harvest spoilage and crop loss to theft. “One of my biggest worries when I was growing the onions was leaving them in the field — what if we got hit by theft?” he said. “Now that this facility is here, I don’t have to stress about that anymore. I can just bring my onions here, drop them off, and get them cured properly under controlled conditions.”

    The facility’s long-term impact stretches far beyond providing safe, professional storage for current farmers. BADMC and local agricultural stakeholders expect the infrastructure to create a consistent, dependable supply chain for locally grown onions that will cut the island nation’s dependence on costly imported produce. By cutting post-harvest waste, the facility enables farmers to supply local supermarkets on a steady basis, and in the future, could open doors to selling to larger regional export markets, O’Garro noted.

    Already, O’Garro is planning his next growing cycle and is calling on other current and prospective local farmers to take advantage of this new public resource to expand domestic production. “I want to tell other farmers: get involved. This is really promising,” he urged. “When it’s time for my next harvest, I’ll be first in line to use this amazing new facility in Christ Church.”

  • Fuel Costs Soared Over 100%; More Relief Carries Fiscal Risks

    Fuel Costs Soared Over 100%; More Relief Carries Fiscal Risks

    As skyrocketing global oil prices continue to fuel public and political pressure for deeper cuts to Belize’s fuel taxes, a new independent analysis lays bare the steep trade-offs facing the small Caribbean nation: meaningful relief for consumers at the pump would come at the price of massive government revenue losses, heightened strain on already fragile foreign reserves, and serious risks to the country’s overall fiscal stability.

    The analysis, conducted by The Reporter, cross-references official government fuel pricing schedules with volume estimates from the April 2025 Maritime Sector Baseline Assessment Report published for the Belize Port Authority, focusing exclusively on the two highest-consumption fuel types — regular gasoline and diesel — for which consistent annual volume data is available. Premium gasoline was excluded due to its separate tax structure, while kerosene was omitted because the report does not break out standalone volume estimates for the product.

    Per the Port Authority’s estimates, Belize imports an annual average of 16.8 million gallons of regular gasoline and 21.6 million gallons of diesel to meet domestic demand. Government data shows that between January 8 and May 20, 2026, authorities already cut taxes on regular gasoline from $4.7992 per gallon to $3.8074 per gallon — a reduction of roughly $0.99 per gallon. When applied to the full estimated annual import volume, this existing cut translates to an annualized revenue shortfall of approximately $16.6 million if current rates hold for the full year.

    For diesel, the tax cut has been even larger: per-gallon taxes dropped from $4.3926 in January to $3.2342 by mid-May, a reduction of $1.16 per gallon. That cut alone would generate an estimated $25 million in annual lost revenue, bringing the combined annual revenue loss from the two fuel types to nearly $42 million under the current tax structure.

    Even with these existing cuts, however, consumers have only seen partial insulation from the global price shock. Official data shows the landed cost of regular gasoline — the price the country pays to import the fuel — more than doubled between January and May 2026, jumping from $4.6240 per gallon to $9.3875 per gallon. Over the same period, diesel’s landed cost surged from $5.4354 per gallon to $10.1072 per gallon. With only a 20 percent cut to taxes, the vast majority of these import cost increases have been passed directly to drivers and businesses, a dynamic industry analysts call “cost pass-through.”

    The Reporter’s calculation found that roughly 80 percent of the rise in regular gasoline’s landed cost has been shifted to consumers at the pump. To bring that pass-through rate down to 50 percent — a level that would offer far more meaningful relief to households — regular gasoline taxes would need to be cut an additional $1.41 per gallon, to just $2.40 per gallon. Under that scenario, annual revenue from regular gasoline taxes would plummet from the January 2026 level of $80.6 million to just $40.3 million, a $40 million annual shortfall from that single fuel category. A matching adjustment for diesel would add another $48 million in annual lost revenue, pushing the total annual revenue loss from a more aggressive relief strategy to nearly $88 million.

    Beyond the direct hit to government tax intake, the analysis outlines additional macroeconomic risks tied to deeper tax cuts. Because all fuel consumed in Belize is imported, rising global prices already increase demand for U.S. dollars to finance incoming shipments. If steep tax cuts or subsidies keep domestic fuel prices artificially low, demand for imported fuel will remain high even as global costs climb, creating extra pressure on the country’s balance of payments and depleting limited foreign reserve holdings.

    The findings also cast doubt on the long-term sustainability of Belize’s primary surplus, a key fiscal metric that depends on keeping revenues strong relative to government spending. While deeper fuel tax cuts would deliver much-needed short-term relief for cash-strapped consumers and businesses, the analysis makes clear that fully shielding the domestic market from global oil price volatility would carry severe, long-lasting fiscal and economic consequences for the country.