Published on November 5 by political analyst Jack Menke, this opinion piece examines recent electoral shifts across North and South America that appear to push back against rising autocratic trends, while placing these developments against a broader, decades-long backdrop of global democratic erosion. The analysis opens with two landmark electoral outcomes: former Brazilian president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva’s surprise comeback victory at the polls, which rolled back a surge of authoritarian-leaning governance across South America, and the U.S. Democratic Party’s decisive sweep of both chambers of Congress in the November 4 U.S. midterm elections, seizing full control of the 435-seat House of Representatives and the 100-seat Senate in a historic rebuke of incumbent Republican president Donald Trump’s two-year administration. The scale of the Republican defeat was unprecedented in modern U.S. midterm history: the party lost a long-held Senate seat in Texas, and flipped a Kansas Senate seat that Democrats had not claimed since 1932, a clear reflection of widespread public frustration with Trump’s deep unpopularity. Despite the celebrations among U.S. Democratic voters, the piece stresses that democratic backsliding in the United States has been unfolding steadily for decades, long before the 2024 midterms. The 2021 January 6 Capitol riot, orchestrated by Trump loyalists attempting to overturn the presidential election result, remains a vivid marker of this erosion, and a Republican-dominated Supreme Court’s subsequent ruling granting partial presidential immunity to Trump severely undermined legal efforts to hold him accountable for his role in the insurrection. The author traces U.S. democratic decline back to the post-World War II era, noting that as U.S. global geopolitical influence waned and its military interventions repeatedly failed to deliver intended outcomes, including ongoing U.S.-led military operations in Iran, the country’s political system became increasingly corrupted by overlapping economic, political, and criminal factions embedded within the powerful military-industrial complex. The Trump administration’s well-documented anti-democratic policies extended far beyond U.S. borders: under his leadership, immigration enforcement agency ICE carried out widespread arrests, physical abuse, and even fatal shootings of undocumented migrants, while U.S. forces regularly blew up suspected drug smuggling vessels in international waters, in open violation of international law. This U.S. turn toward authoritarian governance has coincided with a broader global surge of far-right political parties, whose leaders across Western Europe have emulated Trump’s playbook by undermining democratic institutions, stoking anti-immigrant xenophobia, and triggering widespread youth-led anti-government protests. Against this grim global backdrop, Brazil’s electoral outcome stands out as a notable example of democratic resilience. Lula, who trailed in the first round of voting, mounted an extraordinary comeback to secure 51.8% of valid votes in the second round, picking up 10.4 million more ballots than his first-round total. His campaign leveraged a digitally powered, broad-based grassroots mobilization that extended far beyond his traditional left-wing base to draw in moderate and even conservative voters, creating a critical counterweight to a regional trend of authoritarian-leaning right-wing governments that had taken power in Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Chile, and Peru. The piece cites data from the 2026 *Democracy Report: Unraveling the Democratic Era* to contextualize these regional shifts within a devastating global democratic slump: by the end of 2025, the world hosted 92 autocratic regimes compared to just 87 functioning democracies. A staggering 6 billion people, 74% of the global population, now live under autocratic rule, while a mere 7% reside in full liberal democracies. The analysis notes that many self-identified liberal democratic states have also adopted new, soft forms of dictatorial governance to secure popular loyalty from large segments of their populations, deepening the global backsliding trend. Even in countries that rank relatively high on global democratic indices, structural flaws persist: Suriname, which places 41st out of 179 countries in the 2026 Liberal Democracy Index, faces a persistent, distorted political system where ruling and opposition parties have nearly identical policy positions, and formal, informal, and criminal economic networks have become increasingly intertwined, with illicit criminal activity dominating the economy as the single largest barrier to long-term democratic progress and national development. The piece closes by posing a critical open question to global observers: are the recent electoral upsets in Brazil and the United States proof of democracy’s inherent self-cleansing, self-correcting mechanism, or are they merely a fleeting, temporary moment of resilience that will not reverse the far broader, multi-decade trend of global democratic unraveling?
