Latin America and the Caribbean, a region that underpins global food security, is facing an unprecedented dual threat that puts agricultural output, rural livelihoods, and regional social stability at grave risk: the extreme El Niño event forecast for 2026, paired with the ongoing global fertilizer shortage. What makes this confluence of crises particularly dangerous is that each challenge alone is enough to upend regional farming, but together, they threaten to create a catastrophic perfect storm that will impact millions of agricultural producers and undermine food access across dozens of nations. Meteorological forecasts have placed the probability of a strong El Niño developing this year at exceptionally high levels, and the phenomenon is expected to bring wildly uneven impacts across the region: catastrophic flooding and torrential rainfall in some zones, and prolonged, crippling drought and water scarcity in others. What keeps climate and agriculture experts up at night is the deep uncertainty around just how intense this extreme event could ultimately be. For the Southern Cone, particularly parts of Argentina and Brazil, the El Niño event may bring a silver lining: increased rainfall that could help replenish parched soils and support a rebound in major crop yields. But the outlook is far grimmer for Central America, the Caribbean, and large swathes of northern South America. Across these vulnerable areas, the risks are stark: massive crop yield declines and outright harvest failures, reduced livestock output, broken supply chains that disrupt agricultural markets, and sharp, sudden spikes in staple food prices. These impacts are not abstract hypothetical risks—they are patterns that have played out repeatedly in recent El Niño events, and the economic costs to producers and consumers already run into hundreds of millions of dollars. Beyond immediate production losses, the crisis tends to ripple outward into long-term hardship for rural communities: overburdened producer debt, outmigration from struggling rural areas, and widespread nutritional decline as households are forced to cut back on quality food. For small and medium-sized producers, who make up the backbone of regional food production, this overlapping uncertainty creates impossible planning choices. When climate patterns are unpredictable, it becomes nearly impossible to decide which crops to plant, how much capital to invest, or what level of fertilizer to apply. Add skyrocketing fertilizer prices and persistent supply shortages to the equation, and many producers have no choice but to cut fertilizer application rates, reduce the total area they plant, or shift to less nutrient-demanding, lower-yield crops—all changes that immediately drag down total production and output. Unlike past decades, however, today’s science and technology give the region the unique ability to anticipate the arrival and potential impacts of climate events like El Niño and its counterpart La Niña. In this day and age, it is no longer acceptable for governments and regional bodies to take a reactive approach, waiting to act until drought has already parched fields, floods have destroyed homes and crops, and food prices have spiraled out of control. The only way to meaningfully reduce harm is to act ahead of the event. That is why regional agricultural leaders are calling for an urgent shift to a coordinated, proactive regional resilience strategy. It is critical that the region convene a broad hemispheric dialogue focused on building agri-food resilience, bringing all key stakeholders to the table: national governments, multilateral international organizations, producer associations, the global financial sector, academic institutions, and private industry. The shared goal of this collaboration must be to build robust anticipation capacity that protects both agricultural production and rural livelihoods across the region. In this effort, international technical cooperation bodies have a uniquely important role to play: they already have established frameworks for political and technical coordination, deep working relationships with national governments, producers, private companies, and international financial institutions, putting them in the perfect position to negotiate regional cooperation agreements, coordinate proactive preparedness measures, and organize emergency aid and solidarity responses if a crisis does unfold. A number of concrete public-private collaboration mechanisms can be advanced immediately. These include cross-regional climate and agricultural coordination platforms, pre-negotiated agreements with fertilizer producers and logistics firms to guarantee steady fertilizer access for the most vulnerable areas, innovative climate-focused financial tools developed in partnership with public and private banks, widespread expansion of accessible climate index insurance for small producers, and joint technology adaptation programs designed to bring modern tools to small and medium-sized farming operations. Private sector participation is non-negotiable for these strategies to become viable and scalable across the region. Fertilizer manufacturers, large agribusiness operators, financial institutions, technology firms, and agricultural export chains all hold core responsibilities and critical resources that make them essential partners in building shared agricultural resilience. Another top regional priority must be strengthening early warning systems and turning raw climate data into actionable decision-making tools that reach producers directly. Latin America and the Caribbean already generate an enormous volume of high-value meteorological and agricultural data, but too often this information fails to reach the producers who need it most in a timely, usable format. Beyond early warning, the coordinated strategy should prioritize widespread adoption of drought-resistant crop varieties and efficient water management infrastructure, paired with updated agronomic management practices that leverage cutting-edge technologies such as GPS mapping, agricultural drones, and soil moisture sensors to boost productivity and resilience. Importantly, leaders frame this dual crisis not just as a threat, but as a unique opportunity to build a new, more resilient agri-food governance system rooted in cross-regional cooperation, technological innovation, and proactive forward planning. As a region, Latin America and the Caribbean produce food for billions of people across the globe, feeding their own populations and meeting critical demand in global markets. Protecting this vital productive capacity is not just a domestic economic priority for the region—it is a strategic priority for global development, rural stability, and global food security. This commentary comes from Muhammad Ibrahim, Director General of the Inter-American Institute for Cooperation on Agriculture (IICA).
分类: world
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CARICOM Condemns US Actions on Cuba
On May 27, 2026, the Caribbean Community’s Council for Foreign and Community Relations (COFCOR) delivered a forceful rebuke of the United States’ recent tightening of economic and trade sanctions against Cuba, marking a major show of regional pushback against Washington’s long-standing policy toward the island nation.
In an official statement released following the body’s latest deliberations, COFCOR emphasized that the 60-year U.S. embargo on Cuba has already inflicted widespread, sustained harm to Cuban households and local livelihoods across the country. The newly expanded restrictions, which include disruptions to Cuban fuel imports, have now pushed the country into a full-blown humanitarian emergency, the council argued. COFCOR reaffirmed Cuba’s sovereign right to import critical energy resources, and labeled the U.S. obstruction of these supplies as an unjustifiable violation of both fundamental human rights and the principles of free global trade.
Beyond the economic and humanitarian impacts, regional leaders also sounded a urgent alarm about recent public discourse hinting at potential U.S. military action against Cuba. The council stressed that any act of military aggression targeting the island would send shockwaves through the entire Caribbean region, unraveling years of collaborative work to maintain the Caribbean’s status as an internationally recognized Zone of Peace. “Cuba poses no threat to any nation,” the statement reiterated, pushing back against narratives framing the country as a security risk to other hemispheric powers.
Notably, the declaration did not receive unanimous backing from all 15 CARICOM member states. While the vast majority of bloc members endorsed the critical statement, two nations — Guyana and Trinidad and Tobago — chose to reserve their official positions on the text, revealing a small degree of internal division within the regional bloc over how to address tensions between the U.S. and Cuba.
The rebuke comes as diplomatic friction over Cuba policy has reignited in the Caribbean, where many regional governments have long opposed the U.S. embargo as a violation of international law and a barrier to regional economic integration. COFCOR’s statement adds to growing global pressure on the United States to reconsider its long-standing sanctions regime, which has drawn repeated criticism from international bodies for its disproportionate impact on civilian populations.
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Mexico Steps In After Trump Bars Iran’s World Cup Team
As the 2026 FIFA World Cup co-hosted by the United States, Mexico and Canada approaches, a geopolitical dispute has disrupted competition logistics for Iran’s national men’s football team, with Mexico stepping in to accommodate the squad after a controversial restriction from U.S. President Donald Trump.
The 2026 World Cup, running from June 11 to July 19, has scheduled all three of Iran’s Group G matches for U.S. host cities: two matches against New Zealand and Belgium in Los Angeles, and a third against Egypt in Seattle. Despite approving Iran’s participation in matches held on American territory, Trump issued an order barring the Iranian squad from staying overnight anywhere in the U.S. The restriction comes amid a three-month ongoing U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran that launched on February 28, a conflict that has already killed roughly 3,468 people and injured more than 26,500, according to data from Al Jazeera.
In March, Trump defended the policy, claiming that barring overnight stays was “appropriate” “for their own life and safety.” As of press time, entry visas for Iranian team members have not yet been issued by U.S. authorities. Stuck between its match schedule and the U.S. travel restriction, global governing body FIFA turned to neighboring Mexico to resolve the logistics gap.
Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum publicly confirmed the new hosting arrangement during her daily press briefing on Monday. “The United States doesn’t want the Iranian team to spend the night…So they asked us, ‘Can we stay the night in Mexico?’ We said sure, no problem,” Sheinbaum told reporters. She added that Mexico sees no justification for turning the Iranian team away, saying “We have no reason to deny them the possibility of staying in Mexico.”
Under the new plan, Iran will establish its team base at the Xoloitzcuintle Centre in Tijuana, a Mexican city located just south of the U.S.-Mexico border opposite San Diego, California. On each match day, the squad will cross the border into the U.S. to compete before returning to their Tijuana base after the game.
The unusual arrangement highlights how geopolitical tensions are spilling over into global football less than three months before the kickoff of the 2026 tournament, which is the first expanded 48-team World Cup in history.
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El Niño, warm seas to shape quiet but erratic hurricane season
When regional climate experts gathered in Nassau, The Bahamas for the 2026 Wet/Hurricane Season Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF), one leading climatologist delivered a stark message: a quieter hurricane season does not equal a low-risk year for Caribbean nations. Leading Caribbean climatologist Dr. Cedric Van Meerbeeck told attendees that current climate projections point to a below-average 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, but the underlying weather patterns driving this trend also create a suite of other dangerous climate hazards that communities must prepare for immediately.
Dr. Van Meerbeeck’s forecast is rooted in the projected return of a strong El Niño climate pattern across the tropical Pacific, a well-documented phenomenon that alters global atmospheric circulation to suppress the formation of Atlantic hurricanes. Current projections call for approximately five hurricanes to form across the Atlantic basin in 2026, with just two reaching Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale — numbers that fall below the long-term seasonal average for the region. But El Niño’s impacts stretch far beyond reducing hurricane numbers, and the climatologist emphasized that the pattern amplifies a range of other extreme weather threats that are often overlooked in seasonal outlooks.
One of the most significant underdiscussed risks this year will be unstable, erratic weather patterns across the Caribbean, Dr. Van Meerbeeck explained. Even with fewer named storms overall, the region faces an elevated chance of intense, short-duration rainfall events that can trigger catastrophic flash flooding, paired with prolonged, record-breaking heat waves that strain public health systems and infrastructure.
Compounding these risks is the fact that sea surface temperatures across the northern Caribbean — encompassing island nations including The Bahamas, Cuba, and Jamaica — are already running well above long-term averages. These warm waters can act as a fuel source for any storm that does form, amplifying its intensity and rainfall output even if the overall number of storms is lower than usual.
Water security is another critical concern for the coming year, the climatologist noted. While the upcoming wet season is expected to bring enough rainfall to ease long-standing drought conditions in some parts of the region, that temporary relief will likely not be enough to reverse chronic water deficits that could lead to shortages later in 2026. To address this gap, Dr. Van Meerbeeck issued a clear call to action for Caribbean governments: invest in expanding water storage infrastructure and update drought preparedness plans now, while rainy conditions are providing an opportunity to build up reserves.
Public health risks linked to extreme heat will also be amplified by El Niño, particularly for the region’s most vulnerable populations. Prolonged high temperatures, paired with unseasonably warm overnight temperatures that prevent the body from cooling down after hot days, pose a severe threat to elderly residents, young children, and people with pre-existing health conditions.
In closing, Dr. Van Meerbeeck stressed that communities across the region must abandon the misconception that a below-average hurricane season means widespread safety. Even one major hurricane hitting a Caribbean island or coastal community is enough to wipe out crops, destroy critical infrastructure including roads and water systems, disrupt livelihoods, and cause billions of dollars in damage that can set back national economies for years. As the season approaches, proactive preparation across all hazard types, not just hurricane preparedness, will be critical to reducing harm and protecting communities.
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Caribbean urged to prepare for heat, drought and rising energy bills
Against the backdrop of escalating climate volatility, a top Caribbean climate official has sounded a urgent call for regional preparedness, warning of overlapping climate and economic threats set to impact the area ahead of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, which kicks off in June.
Speaking at the opening of the 2026 Wet and Hurricane Season Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF) held in Nassau, Bahamas this Wednesday, Dr. David Farrell, principal of the Barbados-based Caribbean Institute for Meteorology and Hydrology (CIMH), outlined that the climate phenomenon El Niño will drive worsening drought and record-breaking extreme heat across the region by the end of 2026. These dual climate hazards will arrive alongside already volatile global energy markets, he warned, bringing sharp increases in the cost of cooling for households and communities across the Caribbean.
“We start preparing for a drier period,” Farrell told attendees of the regional climate gathering. “A drier period will induce droughts in some communities, and so we have to begin thinking about how we will deal with water. For other communities, it may mean excessive heat.”
Farrell pointed out that these looming climate challenges are unfolding at a time of persistent global fuel price instability. Higher energy demand for cooling during prolonged heatwaves will directly translate to steeper utility bills for Caribbean families, placing additional financial strain on already vulnerable households. “It may mean that we pay more for cooling, and this could place a strain on communities and families. It’s going to be up to us to provide the best information possible to help people prepare,” he added.
Beyond immediate household impacts, Farrell emphasized that El Niño-driven climate extremes will also create underdiscussed ripple effects across Caribbean regional trade and national economies, a topic that has not received enough attention within the Caribbean Community (Caricom). “We do not often discuss these issues within Caricom, but we trade,” he said. “What does a changing climate mean for regional trade and for how we engage with international markets? These are areas where we need to refocus our discussions within CariCOF and Caricom.”
To improve regional climate action, Farrell stressed that the Caribbean must overhaul how climate science and risk information is shared with the general public, moving beyond dense technical language that is inaccessible to communities outside of scientific research circles. “We have to break down the scientific jargon, the equations and the technical language so we can communicate intelligently and meaningfully with the people of the Caribbean,” he explained. Stronger two-way public engagement and community feedback, he added, are core to building a more effective, responsive regional climate response framework.
Farrell also recalled the severe whiplash of extreme climate events the region experienced between 2010 and 2011, when the Caribbean shifted abruptly from prolonged, debilitating drought to extreme rainfall and catastrophic flooding, as a reminder of how rapidly climate conditions can shift in the region.
In a push to build intergenerational climate capacity, he called on public and private stakeholders across both English-speaking and Spanish-speaking Caribbean nations to expand investment in youth engagement, through expanded internship programs and accessible climate-focused training opportunities. “This is one of the ways we bridge the gap between older and younger generations,” he said. “Young people are the ones who will have to face the future climate challenges in this region, and they must become climate aware, climate smart and climate literate from an early age.”
Alongside his warnings and calls to action, Farrell used the regional forum to officially soft-launch a landmark new regional climate resource: the Caribbean Climate Impacts Database (CID). Designed as a centralized, collaborative hub, the platform will underpin evidence-based climate decision-making and policy development across the entire Caribbean region.
Farrell explained that the core mission of the new database is to connect fragmented emergency management systems across Caribbean nations and create a single unified repository for standardized climate impact data. The platform will also play a critical role in supporting Caribbean countries’ applications to the international Loss and Damage Fund, a global financing mechanism designed to support vulnerable nations dealing with climate change impacts. By providing verifiable, evidence-based data on past and projected climate impacts, the CID will help regional states secure critical financing for climate resilience projects and support the future expansion of the database itself.
While CIMH will take on day-to-day management of the new platform, Farrell emphasized that the future development and governance of the database will be led by regional stakeholders from across the Caribbean. Roche Mahon, a lead facilitator for the CID initiative, revealed that the platform already boasts an robust initial dataset: more than 7,000 individual records tracking hazard impacts across 29 Caribbean countries.
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Kenya rights group files petition to halt US Ebola quarantine centre plan
In the wake of an expanding Ebola outbreak centered in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a controversial plan by the United States to construct a dedicated quarantine facility for its citizens in Kenya has sparked legal action, public health concerns, and constitutional debate across the East African nation.
On Thursday, the Nairobi-based Kenyan human rights organization Katiba Institute confirmed it had submitted a formal court petition to block the project entirely. The petition demands not only that the facility be prevented from commencing operations but also that authorities ban any entry of individuals potentially exposed to the Ebola virus through this program, according to statements from the group.
The rights organization has leveled sharp criticism at the opaque process behind the facility’s development, saying the project was advanced unilaterally and without public transparency. This lack of consultation, Katiba Institute argues, violates core tenets of Kenya’s constitution and creates unacceptable risks for the country’s population.
A senior U.S. administration official has previously framed the project as a public health safety measure, describing the planned site as a modern, “state-of-the-art” facility intended to house U.S. citizens for quarantine after they exit the DRC, which has been grappling with the ongoing outbreak since it was declared in mid-May.
The plan has also drawn concern from top African public health leadership. Jean Kaseya, director of the Africa Centres for Disease Control and Prevention (Africa CDC), warned during a recent press briefing that the facility could place unplanned, additional strain on Kenya’s already stretched national health system. “Adding an international quarantine responsibility for foreign nationals could stretch their national capacities… If it’s not well supported by additional resources,” Kaseya explained, highlighting the risk of overburdening local infrastructure without sufficient backing.
Nora Mbagathi, executive director of Katiba Institute, emphasized the core motivations behind the legal challenge, saying, “The case is about preserving constitutional accountability, protecting public health and ensuring that no government may place expediency above the lives and safety of the people of Kenya.”
To date, Kenya has implemented mandatory Ebola testing for all incoming travelers from affected regions, and has not recorded any confirmed cases linked to the current outbreak within its borders. Uganda, which shares borders with both the DRC and Kenya, has already documented at least seven cases of the virus.
Kenya’s Ministry of Health has not issued a formal direct response to questions about the proposed facility, only stating broadly that the country is open to collaboration with international partners, including the United States.
Current data from the World Health Organization puts the outbreak’s toll at more than 1,000 combined confirmed and suspected cases, with 10 confirmed deaths and 223 suspected fatalities. Complicating response efforts, the outbreak is driven by the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola, for which no licensed vaccine or targeted treatment currently exists.
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US allocates extra US$80 million to tackle Ebola
In a press announcement from Washington D.C. this Thursday, the United States has committed an additional $80 million in emergency funding to ramp up the global response to the spiraling Ebola outbreak spreading across the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and neighboring Uganda.
This new injection of resources brings the total American financial contribution to containment efforts to $112 million since the outbreak was first formally declared in mid-May, according to official statements from the US State Department. The allocated funding is earmarked for critical on-the-ground needs: it will cover the cost of personal protective equipment for frontline healthcare workers operating in high-risk zones, expanded border screening protocols across regional transit points, the distribution of rapid diagnostic test kits, and other urgent response requirements.
“The United States Government continues to carry out a comprehensive, coordinated strategy to contain this Ebola outbreak at its source, both to protect American citizens at home and stop further cross-border spread across the globe,” the State Department’s release noted. This pledge follows a commitment from Secretary of State Marco Rubio a day prior, who stated that the administration’s top priority is blocking the importation of Ebola into US territory.
The outbreak has already taken a severe toll on local communities: the World Health Organization (WHO) has documented 10 confirmed deaths and 223 suspected fatalities across the DRC, out of more than 1,000 combined confirmed and suspected cases recorded since May 15. Public health experts widely warn that the actual scope of the outbreak is far larger than official numbers reflect, due to limited surveillance and access to affected remote areas.
The Trump administration’s handling of the crisis has drawn sharp pushback in recent weeks from congressional Democrats and global public health non-governmental organizations. Critics point to the administration’s earlier decision to withdraw the US from the WHO and restructure and downsize key programs within the US Agency for International Development (USAID) as actions that have weakened global capacity to respond rapidly to emerging infectious disease threats, leaving the current response under-resourced in its critical early stages.
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17 Nigerians refused entry into St. Kitts and Nevis amid Ebola concerns – WIC News
In a proactive emergency move to safeguard its domestic population, the federation of St. Kitts and Nevis has barred 17 Nigerian travelers from entering the country, a decision rooted in rising global concerns over ongoing Ebola virus transmission across parts of Africa.
The group of travelers arrived Tuesday at Robert L. Bradshaw International Airport on St. Kitts via a regional commercial flight, and was immediately turned away under new public health protocols. The country’s Ministry of National Security issued an official statement confirming the decision, stressing that the restrictive measure was not reached hastily. Instead, it was implemented on the formal recommendation of the nation’s top public health experts, aligned with the government’s core mandate to protect community health amid growing international alarm over the expanding Ebola outbreak.
Officials noted that the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (NCDC) has already publicly designated Nigeria as a high-risk location for Ebola importation. That classification followed a dynamic, data-driven risk assessment that accounted for ongoing Ebola transmission in multiple West and Central African regions, as well as frequent cross-border and international travel through Nigeria’s major transport hubs. Crucially, the statement acknowledged that Nigeria has not yet recorded any confirmed locally acquired or imported Ebola cases tied to the current outbreak — a fact that underscores the proactive, precautionary nature of St. Kitts and Nevis’ policy.
The Ministry of National Security emphasized that the entry ban does not reflect a breakdown in the longstanding warm and respectful relations between St. Kitts and Nevis and the people of Nigeria. “We remain a welcoming nation and we deeply regret any inconvenience or distress caused to our Nigerian brothers and sisters who have been affected by this necessary public health measure,” the statement read.
Officials added that their immediate priority is to act with deliberate caution, full accountability, and strict adherence to international public health guidance, while upholding the dignity and respect of all travelers affected by border protocols. The federal government also called on all visitors and residents to comply fully with St. Kitts and Nevis’ public health regulations to ensure the policy is implemented smoothly and without disruption, and expressed gratitude to the local public for their ongoing cooperation and understanding as the situation evolves.


