Meteorologists at the U.S. National Hurricane Center are tracking three separate tropical systems across the Atlantic Ocean, with one disturbance showing sharply increased odds of strengthening into a named tropical cyclone in the coming week.
In its latest public advisory issued at 8 a.m. Eastern Time Wednesday, the agency confirmed that Tropical Disturbance AL92 is currently generating disorganized showers and thunderstorm activity roughly 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, off the western coast of Africa. Favorable atmospheric and oceanic conditions are forecast to persist over the central tropical Atlantic over the next several days, which will create room for AL92 to steadily organize as it tracks along a west to west-northwest path.
As of Wednesday’s update, forecasters have raised the probability that AL92 will develop into a tropical depression to 80% for both the 48-hour and seven-day forecasting windows. This marks a notable increase from earlier projections that put the system’s development odds lower.
AL92 is not the only system being watched by hurricane specialists this week. A second disturbance, labeled AL93, is positioned around 1,050 miles east-northeast of Bermuda in the North Atlantic. This system currently holds a 50% chance of briefly strengthening into a tropical storm before it moves into much cooler ocean waters on Thursday, a shift that will halt any further development.
The third system, a broad tropical wave that has just moved off the western coast of Africa, carries lower development odds at this stage. Forecasters assign it a 20% chance of organization within the next 48 hours and a 30% chance through the next seven days. Like AL92, it is expected to progress west or west-northwest across the tropical Atlantic basin over the coming days.
The National Hurricane Center continues to issue regular updates on all three systems as the Atlantic hurricane season remains active, urging residents and maritime interests across the basin to monitor changes in forecasts over the coming days.