2025 was the third-hottest year ever recorded on Earth

The European Union’s Copernicus Climate Change Service has confirmed that 2025 ranked as the third-warmest year in modern recorded history, continuing a dangerous planetary warming trend. This finding represents part of an unprecedented pattern where the past eleven consecutive years have collectively established themselves as the warmest period in contemporary meteorological records.

Scientific data reveals that last year’s global average temperature soared approximately 1.47°C (2.65°F) above pre-industrial benchmarks (1850-1900), approaching critical climate thresholds. According to Samantha Burgess, strategic climate lead at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, “Surface air temperatures exceeded historical averages across 91% of the globe, primarily driven by accumulating atmospheric greenhouse gases from fossil fuel combustion.”

This warming trajectory places the world in precarious proximity to the 1.5°C limit established by the 2015 Paris Agreement, with temperatures hovering near or exceeding this boundary for three successive years. Mauro Facchini, head of Earth observation for the European Commission’s Directorate General for Defence Industry and Space, characterized this development as “a milestone that none of us wished to see,” emphasizing the unprecedented urgency for climate action.

Converging evidence from U.S. agencies substantiates these findings. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported 2025 as the third-warmest year in records dating to 1850, with global temperatures approximately 1.17°C above the 20th-century average. NASA’s independent analysis yielded consistent results, confirming the accelerating pace of planetary warming.

This scientific consensus emerges alongside concerning policy developments. The United States has initiated withdrawal from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and discontinued support for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Following a mandatory waiting period, the nation will formally exit the Paris Agreement later this month.

The current administration has simultaneously moved to dismantle environmental protections, including efforts to eliminate the Environmental Protection Agency’s authority to regulate greenhouse gases. Policy shifts have favored continued coal plant operation despite its status as the most carbon-intensive energy source, while reversing previous initiatives promoting electric vehicle adoption.

Preliminary emissions data from Rhodium Group indicates U.S. climate pollution increased by 2.4% in 2025, attributed partly to natural gas price fluctuations, expanding data center energy demands, and milder winter conditions. While analysts project future emissions reductions due to renewable energy economics, they anticipate diminished progress compared to pre-2025 projections.

The climatic consequences manifested dramatically through extreme weather events, with 2025 ranking as the third-most costly year for major disasters according to Climate Central. Twenty-three separate events exceeded $1 billion in damages, collectively responsible for 276 fatalities and $115 billion in losses.

Natural climate variability continues to interact with human-caused warming. The late 2025 emergence of La Niña conditions—typically associated with temporary cooling—provided partial mitigation, though NOAA scientists anticipate a transition toward neutral patterns in early 2026.