The Caribbean region faces an unprecedented historical inflection point as the post-war international order fractures rather than reforms. Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s recent Davos declaration that ‘We are in the midst of a rupture, not a transition’ underscores the urgent challenge confronting CARICOM and OECS nations. This rupture demands fundamental adaptation as traditional diplomatic approaches become increasingly obsolete in an era of weaponized trade, securitized migration, and eroded multilateralism.
Professor C. Justin Robinson articulates the stark new reality: the international system that once protected small states has become unreliable, and ‘no one is coming to save us.’ This diagnosis gains traction across Caribbean leadership, with Assistant Secretary-General Wayne McCook acknowledging that weakening multilateral norms and ‘America First’ policies necessitate deeper regional integration through food security, industrial policy, and free movement as essential shock-absorption mechanisms.
The limitations of compliance-based diplomacy emerge clearly in recent Citizenship by Investment (CBI) controversies. While Caribbean governments implemented substantial legislative reforms, Washington now evaluates risk through enforcement consistency and information-sharing reliability rather than statutory language. Recent U.S. actions represent not moral condemnation but leverage signals demanding demonstrable, sustained enforcement.
Human capital strategy requires equal transformation. The region must abandon outdated brain drain narratives and instead mobilize its diaspora as strategic assets through circular engagement models and regional talent platforms. Cultural icon Gordon Henderson emphasizes that contribution transcends geography, while Hon. Mark Brantley notes tightening migration regimes may paradoxically benefit Caribbean development.
The proposed solution centers on asymmetric engagement—intervening where power actually forms within Congressional committees, regulatory agencies, and risk-management units before positions harden. This necessitates reimagining the Institute for Caribbean Studies (ICS) in Washington as a permanent idea-translation platform focused on narrative formation, comparative policy analysis, and diaspora intellectual coordination rather than traditional lobbying.
External influence must be powered by domestic competence through human-centered governance integrating AI and behavioral psychology to build institutional credibility. This comprehensive approach—combining narrative reclamation, diaspora mobilization, institutional presence, and governance innovation—offers the Caribbean pathway from vulnerability to agency in a post-rules world.