Guyana: een economie die explodeert, terwijl dagelijks leven onbetaalbaar wordt

Guyana presents a study in economic contrasts as it undergoes one of the world’s most rapid transformations. While massive infrastructure projects reshape the coastal landscape around Georgetown and Demerara, the population grapples with living costs disproportionately high compared to local incomes. This divergence between macroeconomic indicators and daily reality defines South America’s fastest-growing economy.

Since commencing oil production in late 2019, Guyana has achieved extraordinary economic expansion. GDP surged over 60% in 2022, followed by 20-30% annual growth in 2023 and 2024, with projections of 12-15% growth for 2025. The offshore Stabroek Block operations, led by ExxonMobil with Chevron and CNOOC, now exceed 600,000 barrels daily, driving unprecedented government revenues and foreign reserves.

Despite these indicators, daily life reveals a different story. Senior journalist Denis Chabrol of Demerara Waves describes Guyana as effectively dollarized, with prices for imported goods mirroring US levels while average monthly incomes range between $500-600. Georgetown residents require approximately $750 monthly for basic survival excluding transportation, creating significant financial pressure.

The monetary system exacerbates these challenges. The Bank of Guyana maintains an artificial exchange rate stability around GYD 208-215 per USD, masking a structural dollar shortage. Strict currency controls force businesses and citizens through lengthy dollar acquisition processes, fostering a parallel market where dollars trade 10-20% above official rates. These additional costs ultimately transfer to consumers.

Wage growth remains constrained, particularly in non-oil sectors including education, healthcare, retail, and government services. This deliberate policy to avoid inflation acceleration has diminished purchasing power as fixed costs for housing, food, and transportation escalate dramatically. Street interviews near Stabroek Market reveal food prices increasing 60-100% over five years, with rents approaching Caribbean and US levels.

Additional complications arise from migration patterns. The oil boom has attracted workers from Venezuela and Cuba, primarily filling construction, hospitality, and domestic service roles. While some positions remain unfilled by locals, the increased demand for housing and services further drives inflation in urban centers.

Environmental challenges accompany economic growth, with waste accumulation along waterways and streets indicating inadequate waste management systems struggling to match urbanization pace.

Guyana now stands at a historical crossroads. Without reforms in currency policy, wage development, and social investment, the nation risks falling prey to the ‘resource curse’ – where impressive economic growth coincides with decreasing affordability of daily life. For neighboring Suriname, anticipating its own oil industry emergence by 2028, Guyana’s experience serves as both mirror and warning about managing natural resource wealth for sustainable, inclusive development.