Trinidad and Tobago’s Minister of Finance, Davendranath Tancoo, has justified the government’s decision to base its fiscal 2026 budget on an oil price of US$73.25 per barrel and natural gas at $4.25 per million British thermal units (MMBtu). The announcement was made during a post-budget forum organized by the TT Chamber of Industry and Commerce on October 14 in San Fernando. The event saw Tancoo addressing concerns raised by Nalini Ramkissoon, the business development manager at Heritage Petroleum Ltd, regarding the rationale behind the selected prices. Tancoo explained that the figures were derived from projections by the Ministry of Energy and Energy Industries, which utilized a ‘basket of prices’ methodology developed under the previous administration. The projections included optimistic, pessimistic, and moderate estimates, with the government opting for the middle figure to ensure realism. Tancoo acknowledged that this approach might differ from other metrics, such as the Brent crude oil price. He also emphasized that the budget incorporates various contingencies to account for potential fluctuations in oil and gas prices. The US Energy Information Administration (US EIA) has forecasted a decline in oil prices, with Brent crude expected to drop to US$52 per barrel by early 2026. Similarly, natural gas prices are projected to average US$3.90/MMBtu in 2026. Tancoo’s maiden budget, presented on October 13, outlined expenditures of $59.2 billion and revenues of $55.4 billion, resulting in a $3.9 billion deficit. Oil revenue is anticipated to contribute $11.254 billion, while non-oil revenue is forecasted at $43.402 billion, with capital revenue expected to reach $0.711 billion.