A tropical wave designated as AL98 is currently impacting the eastern Caribbean, bringing widespread showers, thunderstorms, and strong winds to the region. According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, the system is moving westward at a speed of 20 to 25 mph, entering the eastern Caribbean Sea. The NHC’s latest advisory, issued at 8 a.m. on Sunday, predicts that the unsettled weather will persist through Monday morning, with heavy rainfall and gusty winds affecting the Windward and Leeward Islands. While the system’s rapid movement is expected to limit further development in the next couple of days, meteorologists suggest that conditions may become more favorable for strengthening later this week as it slows over the central Caribbean. The NHC has indicated a 10% chance of formation within the next 48 hours and a 60% chance over the next seven days. If the system develops further, a tropical depression could form by mid to late week. Forecaster Papin has urged residents and stakeholders across the Caribbean to monitor updates closely as the system progresses westward.

A rapidly advancing tropical wave near the Windward Islands has triggered widespread showers and thunderstorms, prompting meteorologists to issue warnings of heavy rainfall and gusty winds across the Windward and Leeward Islands until Monday morning. The system, moving westward across the eastern Caribbean at a speed of 20–25 miles per hour, poses a significant risk of flash flooding in low-lying or poorly drained areas. Although the disturbance has not yet developed into a tropical cyclone, it is capable of producing brief but intense wind gusts and rough seas, particularly around thunderstorms. Regional authorities are urging residents to remain vigilant and stay updated with local weather advisories as the tropical wave progresses further into the Caribbean. The public is advised to monitor official updates and prepare for potential disruptions caused by the adverse weather conditions.

The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service has issued a high surf advisory for several Caribbean islands, including the British Virgin Islands, Anguilla, Antigua, Barbuda, St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat. The advisory, effective from Saturday, October 18, 2025, until Wednesday morning, warns of hazardous marine conditions caused by moderate long-period swells. These swells are expected to produce dangerous surfs of 2 to 3 meters (6 to 10 feet) along northern and northern-facing coastlines, particularly affecting reefs and shallow nearshore areas. Significant wave heights are forecasted to reach 1.8 to 2.4 meters (6 to 8 feet), occasionally peaking near 3.1 meters (10 feet). The swells, originating from the north, will have a period of 10 to 13 seconds, creating life-threatening rip currents and surfs. Coastal flooding and beach erosion are also anticipated due to high tides combined with onshore winds and swell actions. The potential impacts include loss of life, injuries to beachgoers, disruptions to marine recreation and businesses, financial losses, and damage to coral reefs. Authorities urge extreme caution for those using affected coastlines, advising beachgoers to bathe only in lifeguard-protected areas or sheltered beaches. Rip currents, which can carry even strong swimmers out to sea, pose a significant risk. If caught in a rip current, individuals are advised to relax, float, and swim parallel to the shoreline. The public is encouraged to stay updated via the Meteorological Office’s website and social media platforms, as well as local media outlets.