A preliminary US military investigation has identified outdated intelligence as the probable cause behind a devastating airstrike that struck an elementary school in southern Iran, resulting in significant civilian casualties. According to sources familiar with the ongoing inquiry, US Central Command utilized obsolete coordinates provided by the Defense Intelligence Agency when executing a February 28th operation targeting an adjacent Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) naval facility in Minab.
The strike on the Shajareh Tayyiba school, which Iranian state media reports killed at least 168 children and 14 teachers, appears to stem from a tragic misidentification. Satellite imagery analysis reveals a critical evolution in the area’s infrastructure: while the school and military base were part of a single compound in 2013, imagery from 2016 clearly shows a physical separation with a newly erected fence and a dedicated school entrance. December 2025 imagery further contradicts target assumptions by showing children actively playing in the school courtyard.
Weapons experts and CNN analysis of video evidence from the incident indicate the munition used was consistent with a US-made Tomahawk Land Attack Missile (TLAM), a precision-guided weapon system exclusively operated by the United States and a limited group of authorized allies. Iran is not among the nations possessing this advanced missile technology.
The incident has triggered complex diplomatic repercussions and internal accountability questions. President Donald Trump stated he was unaware of preliminary findings reported by The New York Times and declined to accept responsibility, suggesting instead that Iran might be responsible—a claim directly contradicted by munitions experts and his own administration’s ongoing investigation. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth pledged a thorough investigation while simultaneously accusing Iran of indiscriminate attacks on civilians.
Both the Defense Intelligence Agency and US Central Command have declined to comment on the preliminary findings, citing the active status of the investigation. The White House emphasized that the investigation remains ongoing and cautioned against drawing definitive conclusions until its completion.