A groundbreaking psychological analysis conducted in St. Vincent and the Grenadines (SVG) suggests that the incumbent Unity Labour Party (ULP) is poised to secure a historic sixth consecutive term in the upcoming general election on November 27. The study, led by Grenadian data analyst Cleophas Justine Pierre, predicts an 8-7 victory for the ULP over the New Democratic Party (NDP). The research, which employed a unique methodology popular in India for decades, analyzed voter behavior across 15 constituencies using random stratified sampling of 2,402 individuals. The margin of error was approximately 2%. The findings reveal a strong base of support for the ULP, with 83% of its voters expressing loyalty, compared to a 72.5% retention rate for the NDP. Notably, the defection rate from ULP to NDP was 8.5%, while the reverse was 10.2%, favoring the ULP. The study also highlighted a generational divide, with older voters leaning towards the ULP and younger, urban voters favoring the NDP. Women, particularly single mothers, showed consistent support for the ULP, while unemployed or underemployed young men in urban areas were more inclined towards the NDP. Pierre emphasized that the research aimed to provide an unbiased, scientific analysis of the electorate, with findings presented to both political parties. The study’s innovative approach, which includes geospatial data grids and focus groups, has accurately predicted eight consecutive elections in the Caribbean. Pierre’s ultimate goal is to introduce this technology to the United States, where he sees significant market potential.
‘Psychological analysis’ finds ULP likely to win 8-7
