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The Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Office has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbuda as Tropical Storm Jerry shifts closer to the island. Residents are urged to finalize their hurricane preparedness plans immediately, as sustained tropical storm-force winds are expected within the next 12 to 18 hours. While the warning specifically targets Barbuda, a Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for Antigua and the broader Leeward Islands. The National Office of Disaster Services (NODS) is closely monitoring the situation and advises residents to stay updated through local media channels. Emergency kits should include essential supplies such as non-perishable food, water, first aid items, flashlights, and medications. Additionally, securing homes, businesses, and agricultural equipment is critical. NODS has also warned against walking or driving through floodwaters, which can pose severe risks. The Met Office emphasizes that tropical storm conditions may extend farther south than currently projected, underscoring the need for vigilance and readiness.

Tropical Storm Jerry is rapidly approaching the northern Leeward Islands, prompting urgent warnings from meteorological authorities. As of 1100 AM AST, the storm was located near latitude 15.9 North, longitude 59.1 West, approximately 310 miles east-southeast of the region. With maximum sustained winds of 65 mph and a westward-northwest movement at 18 mph, Jerry is expected to pass near or northeast of the northern Leeward Islands later today and tonight. The government of Antigua and Barbuda has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for Barbuda, indicating that tropical storm conditions are imminent within the next 12 hours. Additionally, a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Antigua, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius, Guadeloupe, and adjacent islands, signaling possible storm conditions within 48 hours. Jerry is forecasted to strengthen in the coming days, potentially reaching hurricane status by late Friday or Saturday. The storm is expected to bring heavy rainfall, with 2 to 4 inches anticipated across the Leeward and Virgin Islands, and isolated totals up to 6 inches. This poses a significant risk of flash flooding, particularly in urban areas and steep terrain. Swells generated by Jerry are already affecting the Leeward and Windward Islands, with life-threatening surf and rip current conditions expected to spread westward. Residents are urged to monitor updates from their national meteorological services and prepare for hazardous weather. The next advisory will be issued at 2:00 PM AST, followed by a complete update at 5:00 PM AST.

Weather authorities have escalated Barbuda’s Tropical Storm Watch to a Tropical Storm Warning as Tropical Storm Jerry alters its trajectory slightly westward, positioning the storm closer to the island than initially projected. The warning, issued at 11 a.m. on Thursday, indicates that sustained tropical-storm-force winds are anticipated within the next 12 to 18 hours. Residents are strongly advised to finalize all storm preparations promptly and prepare for worsening conditions later in the day. Meanwhile, a Tropical Storm Watch remains active for Antigua and the broader Leeward Islands, where tropical storm conditions could still materialize if Jerry’s path veers further south. Meteorologists warn that the storm’s revised course heightens the risk of heavy rainfall, powerful winds, and turbulent seas across the northern Leeward Islands. Authorities urge the public to stay informed through official updates from the Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service and the National Office of Disaster Services (NODS) as the situation evolves.

Antigua and Barbuda is poised to play a pivotal role in global climate diplomacy as Arry Simon, a senior official from the Department of Environment, has been appointed to lead the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) and CARICOM in high-stakes science negotiations. These discussions will take place at the 63rd Session of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC-63) in Lima, Peru, and during the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30) in Belém, Brazil. The talks are expected to shape the next decade of global climate action, with a focus on aligning the IPCC’s Seventh Assessment Report (AR7) with the Second Global Stocktake (GST2) under the Paris Agreement. However, this alignment has faced resistance from several major carbon-emitting nations. Simon, a seasoned negotiator with extensive experience in UNFCCC processes, emphasized the challenges ahead. ‘We are entering a critical phase where evidence-based policymaking is under scrutiny,’ he stated. ‘Our role as Small Island Developing States is to defend the integrity of science and ensure global climate ambition is grounded in the best available evidence.’ Observers highlight that these negotiations will determine how scientific findings are integrated into future climate targets, financing frameworks, and adaptation strategies. For vulnerable island nations like Antigua and Barbuda, the outcomes are of existential importance. Under Simon’s leadership, the AOSIS Science delegation will advocate for the independence and continuity of the IPCC process while ensuring the next assessment cycle delivers timely, policy-relevant insights to guide the implementation of the Paris Agreement. As the world approaches COP30, a landmark event marking the midpoint to 2030, the alignment of science and policy will be crucial in determining whether global efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C remain on track.

Tropical Storm Jerry is rapidly gaining strength as it advances toward the northern Leeward Islands, posing significant risks to the region. According to the National Hurricane Center’s 5 a.m. advisory on October 9, 2025, the storm is moving west-northwest at 20 mph (31 km/h) and is currently located approximately 395 miles (640 km) east-southeast of the islands. With maximum sustained winds of 65 mph (100 km/h), Jerry is expected to intensify further, potentially reaching hurricane status by late Friday or Saturday. A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for Antigua, Barbuda, Anguilla, St. Kitts, Nevis, Montserrat, St. Barthelemy, St. Martin, Sint Maarten, Saba, St. Eustatius, Guadeloupe, and nearby islands. The storm’s center is forecasted to pass near or northeast of the northern Leeward Islands later today, bringing heavy rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, with isolated totals up to 6 inches. This rainfall increases the risk of flash flooding in low-lying and steep areas. Additionally, tropical-storm-force winds extending up to 175 miles (280 km) east of the storm’s center could cause widespread damage. Marine hazards, including life-threatening surf and rip currents, are already affecting the Leeward and Windward Islands and are expected to spread to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Residents in the affected areas are urged to stay informed through official updates and prepare for deteriorating conditions. The National Hurricane Center will issue its next full advisory at 11 a.m. AST.

The UWI Seismic Research Centre (SRC) has confirmed a magnitude 3.5 earthquake that occurred at 10:57 p.m. local time on Wednesday, October 8, 2025. The seismic event was centered at latitude 17.49°N and longitude 61.77°W, with a depth of 19 kilometers. The epicenter was situated approximately 43 kilometers north-northeast of St. John’s, Antigua; 91 kilometers northeast of Brades, Montserrat; and 109 kilometers east-northeast of Basseterre, St. Kitts and Nevis. The SRC emphasized that the earthquake was automatically recorded and that further analysis may lead to revisions in its location and magnitude. Fortunately, there have been no immediate reports of damage or injuries. The region, known for its seismic activity, remains on alert as authorities continue to monitor the situation. The SRC has urged residents to stay informed and prepared for potential aftershocks. This event underscores the importance of robust seismic monitoring systems in earthquake-prone areas.