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In a significant economic development, Belize’s government has announced a hydro deal that will temporarily increase the nation’s debt-to-GDP ratio by 4%. Prime Minister John Briceño addressed the public today, emphasizing that this move is part of a broader recovery plan aimed at stabilizing the economy. To finance the deal, the government will issue treasury notes, leveraging domestic resources rather than foreign borrowing. The Central Bank is tasked with securing $122 million in foreign exchange to facilitate the transaction. The Prime Minister assured citizens that the government plans to divest shares in hydro plants to offset costs, aiming to break even or even achieve a profit. This strategy involves selling shares to local institutional investors, including credit unions and insurance companies. While the immediate impact on public debt is marginal, the long-term success of this plan hinges on market conditions and investor confidence. The government remains optimistic, projecting that the sale of these shares will exceed their current purchase price of $1.50 per share. However, questions linger about potential risks, such as drought, tariff shocks, or shifts in investor appetite, and whether the government has contingency plans in place.

In a heated session in the House of Representatives, opposition leader Tracy Panton strongly criticized the Belizean government’s decision to nationalize Fortis, raising concerns about the potential impact on electricity costs for citizens. Panton argued that the nationalization of Fortis would not automatically lead to cheaper electricity for Belizeans. She referenced recent statements by Prime Minister John Briceño, suggesting that if the government had focused as much on reducing electricity costs as it did on negotiating the Fortis deal, Belizeans might have seen tangible financial relief. Panton emphasized the importance of transparency, urging the government to clearly explain the benefits of the $260 million loan arrangement to the public. She highlighted the significant role energy costs play for residential, commercial, and industrial sectors, including tourism, and called for meaningful efforts to address the high cost of energy in the country. The debate underscores growing concerns about the economic implications of the Fortis nationalization and its potential burden on Belizean households and businesses.

The recent Fortis and BEL share sale has sparked significant debate, with Opposition Leader Tracy Panton raising critical concerns about the fairness of tax exemptions granted to domestic investors. Panton revealed that these investors will enjoy substantial tax breaks, including exemptions from stamp duty, business tax, income tax, and withholding tax on dividends or interest. While this appears advantageous for large institutional players, Panton argues that small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) are left without such benefits, creating an uneven playing field. The government’s plan to sell shares to recover acquisition costs has further fueled skepticism about who truly stands to gain. Panton emphasized the disparity, noting that while Belizeans face rising utility costs, fuel taxes, and GST, these major investors are granted a ‘tax-free paradise.’ The Opposition’s critique highlights broader issues of economic inequality and the burden placed on ordinary citizens amidst these financial maneuvers.

The implementation of CARICOM’s Full Free Movement on October 1, 2025, has so far had minimal impact on Belize, with only seven Barbadians arriving in the country during the first week. According to Belize’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Francis Fonseca, two of these arrivals were tourists, while the remaining five were on business trips. None of them expressed intentions to settle in Belize permanently. Minister Fonseca emphasized that the data reflects a controlled and measured response to the new regional agreement, alleviating concerns about potential job competition or resource strain. Historically, fewer than 500 CARICOM nationals under the skilled worker program have resided in Belize annually, further underscoring the limited demographic shift. Belize, alongside Barbados, Dominica, and Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, has embraced this initiative as a progressive step toward regional integration. The government remains committed to ensuring the policy’s effective and transparent implementation, closely monitoring its outcomes as it unfolds.