‘Stay prepared’

As the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season approaches its official conclusion, the Meteorological Service of Jamaica (Met Service) has issued a reminder that the island remains at risk of severe weather events. Although the likelihood of a Category 5 storm like Hurricane Melissa diminishes, the potential for rapid intensification of weaker storms persists. Rohan Brown, manager of weather services at the Met Service, emphasized that even less intense systems could bring heavy rainfall, flash floods, or landslides, causing significant damage. Historically, the peak hurricane activity occurs between August and October, but late-season storms, such as Tropical Storm Odette in December 2003, have occurred. Brown highlighted that warm sea surface temperatures, low wind shear, and an ENSO-neutral climate—conditions that favor storm development—are still present. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) typically suppresses hurricane activity during strong El Niño phases, but its neutral state this year increases the risk of storms. Brown urged Jamaicans to remain alert, monitor weather advisories, and maintain preparedness until the season officially ends on November 30. He also called for community efforts to clear gullies and strengthen resilience, particularly in the wake of Hurricane Melissa, which caused widespread devastation in October 2025. The Category 5 storm, with winds reaching 295 kilometers per hour, resulted in 45 deaths and left many without essential services. Brown’s warnings also recalled the rare formation of Hurricane Alex in January 2016, underscoring the unpredictability of hurricane activity.