The Caribbean Climate Outlook Forum (CariCOF), headquartered in Barbados, has released its latest seasonal forecast, predicting a decline in tropical cyclone activity and excessively hot, humid days as the region transitions into the cooler, drier months of December. The report, covering the period from November 2023 to January 2024, highlights the influence of La Niña conditions, marked by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, driven by stronger trade winds. This, combined with unusual warmth in the Subtropical North Atlantic, has introduced significant uncertainty into the seasonal climate predictions. Despite this, CariCOF anticipates a steady reduction in tropical cyclone activity and extreme heat in November. However, the ABC Islands, Belize, and the Lesser Antilles are expected to experience high rainfall intensity and frequent showers, raising the risk of flooding, flash floods, and related hazards. The forecast also warns of increasing dry spells in The Bahamas and the Greater Antilles, with drought conditions likely to emerge by late January in areas already experiencing water shortages. As of late October, severe short-term drought has been reported across the Windward Islands, Aruba, parts of the Dominican Republic, and Guadeloupe, while long-term drought is expected in southwest Dominica, northern Jamaica, northern Guyana, St. Croix, and St. Vincent.